Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Prediction | NHL 03.04.26
Last Updated: Mar 4, 2026 4:11 AM
Wednesday, 04 Mar 2026
NJ -122
Toronto Maple Leafs
L
L
L
L
W
27-24-10
VS
7:00 PM
New Jersey Devils
W
W
L
L
L
30-29-2
Game Winner
New Jersey Devils
Total Points
Over
5.5
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils Game Analysis | 03.04.26 | NHL
This regular-season matchup pits the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-10) against the New Jersey Devils (30-29-2) on March 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM EST, hosted at the Prudential Center in Newark. This contest features two Eastern Conference teams with playoff aspirations but currently demonstrating inconsistent form.
Toronto Maple Leafs Team Performance
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this game with a record of 27-24-10, indicating a team that has struggled to find sustained consistency throughout the season. While their offensive firepower is undeniable, their overall record suggests underlying issues, likely defensively or in goaltending, preventing them from dominating. Their ability to generate scoring chances remains a core strength, often leading to high-event hockey. However, defensive lapses have frequently undermined their offensive output.
Toronto Maple Leafs Key Players
- Points: William Nylander (56)
- Goals: Auston Matthews (26)
- Assists: William Nylander (36)
Injury Report Toronto Maple Leafs
- Chris Tanev (Injured reserve): Tanev (groin) was placed on long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
New Jersey Devils Team Performance
The New Jersey Devils, with a record of 30-29-2, have shown slightly more stability than the Maple Leafs, yet still battle inconsistency. Playing on home ice at the Prudential Center provides a distinct advantage. The Devils typically play with pace and aggression, often creating turnovers and capitalizing on transitions. Their ability to generate offense is evident, but like Toronto, defensive solidity and goaltending can be areas of concern, leading to unpredictable outcomes.
New Jersey Devils Key Players
- Points: Jesper Bratt (44)
- Goals: Nico Hischier (20)
- Assists: Jesper Bratt (31)
Injury Report New Jersey Devils
- Zack MacEwen (Injured reserve): MacEwen had knee surgery and will be lost for the remainder of the season, Kristy Flannery of The Hockey News reports Saturday.
Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils
Given the Devils’ slight edge in the standings, coupled with the home-ice advantage at Prudential Center, New Jersey is the predicted winner in this matchup. The Maple Leafs’ defensive structure takes a significant hit with the absence of Chris Tanev, potentially exposing them further against a fast-paced Devils offense. Considering both teams’ offensive capabilities and their propensity for high-scoring games due to defensive vulnerabilities, the total goals prediction is over the line of 5.5.
Last 5 Games: TOR
Form:
LLLLW
VS
vs Philadelphia
L 3-2 SO
PTS
27-24-10
GOL
Stolarz
AST
Joshua
VS
vs Ottawa
L 5-2
PTS
27-24-9
GOL
Woll
AST
Rielly
VS
@ Florida
L 5-1
PTS
27-23-9
GOL
Woll
AST
Woll
VS
@ Tampa Bay
L 4-2
PTS
27-22-9
GOL
Stolarz
AST
Nylander
VS
@ Edmonton
W 5-2
PTS
27-21-9
GOL
Stolarz
AST
Stolarz
| Opponent | Result | Points | Goles | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | L 3-2 SO | 27-24-10 | Stolarz | Joshua |
| vs Ottawa | L 5-2 | 27-24-9 | Woll | Rielly |
| @ Florida | L 5-1 | 27-23-9 | Woll | Woll |
| @ Tampa Bay | L 4-2 | 27-22-9 | Stolarz | Nylander |
| @ Edmonton | W 5-2 | 27-21-9 | Stolarz | Stolarz |
Last 5 Games: NJ
Form:
WWLLL
VS
vs Florida
W 5-1
PTS
30-29-2
GOL
Markstrom
AST
Hamilton
VS
@ St. Louis
W 3-1
PTS
29-29-2
GOL
Markstrom
AST
Markstrom
VS
@ Pittsburgh
L 4-1
PTS
28-29-2
GOL
Markstrom
AST
Markstrom
VS
vs Buffalo
L 2-1
PTS
28-28-2
GOL
Allen
AST
Meier
VS
vs New York
L 3-1
PTS
28-27-2
GOL
Allen
AST
Hischier
| Opponent | Result | Points | Goles | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Florida | W 5-1 | 30-29-2 | Markstrom | Hamilton |
| @ St. Louis | W 3-1 | 29-29-2 | Markstrom | Markstrom |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | 28-29-2 | Markstrom | Markstrom |
| vs Buffalo | L 2-1 | 28-28-2 | Allen | Meier |
| vs New York | L 3-1 | 28-27-2 | Allen | Hischier |
Written by Matt Dorsey
5 YEARS EXPERIENCE
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.