Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Game Analysis | 02.03.26 | NHL

This regular-season matchup pits the Toronto Maple Leafs (26-21-9) against the Edmonton Oilers (28-20-8) on February 3rd, 2026, at 8:30 PM EST from Rogers Place in Edmonton. This contest features two Canadian powerhouses with differing trajectories this season, setting the stage for a compelling cross-conference battle.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Performance

The Maple Leafs enter this game with a 26-21-9 record, indicating a season marked by inconsistency. Their offense, spearheaded by elite talent, remains a significant threat, capable of generating high-danger chances and capitalizing on power-play opportunities. However, their defensive structure has shown vulnerabilities, exacerbated by recent injury woes. Sustaining pressure and limiting quality shots against will be crucial, particularly on the road against a potent Oilers attack.

Toronto Maple Leafs Key Players

Points: William Nylander (51)
Goals: Auston Matthews (26)
Assists: William Nylander (33)

Injury Report Toronto Maple Leafs

Morgan Rielly (Out): Head coach Craig Berube said Monday that Rielly (upper body) won’t return until after the Olympic break, Luke Fox of Sportsnet reports.
Chris Tanev (Injured reserve): Tanev (groin) was placed on long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.
Dakota Joshua (Injured reserve): Joshua (kidney) was transferred to long-term injured reserve Wednesday, per PuckPedia.

Edmonton Oilers Team Performance

The Edmonton Oilers, with a 28-20-8 record, have demonstrated a more consistent campaign, fueled by an MVP-caliber performance from their captain. Their offense is among the league’s most dangerous, leveraging speed and skill to overwhelm opponents. While their defensive play has improved, it remains an area of focus. Playing on home ice provides a significant advantage, and their ability to dictate pace and control offensive zones will be key against Toronto’s high-octane forwards.

Edmonton Oilers Key Players

Points: Connor McDavid (95)
Goals: Connor McDavid (34)
Assists: Connor McDavid (61)

Injury Report Edmonton Oilers

Adam Henrique (Injured reserve): Henrique was moved to long-term injured reserve Tuesday.

Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers

Considering the Oilers’ strong home record, superior overall season performance, and the significant defensive injuries plaguing the Maple Leafs (Rielly, Tanev, Joshua), Edmonton holds a distinct advantage. With Connor McDavid’s unparalleled offensive output, the Oilers are poised to exploit Toronto’s weakened blueline. Expect a high-scoring affair.

Predicted Winner: Edmonton Oilers

Total Goals Prediction: Over 6.5

Last 5 Games: TOR

Form:

WWLLL

VS @ Calgary

W 4-2

PTS 26-21-9

GOL Woll

AST Nylander

VS @ Vancouver

W 3-2 SO

PTS 25-21-9

GOL Woll

AST Woll

VS @ Seattle

L 5-2

PTS 24-21-9

GOL Stolarz

AST Robertson

VS vs Buffalo

L 7-4

PTS 24-20-9

GOL Woll

AST Domi

VS vs Colorado

L 4-1

PTS 24-19-9

GOL Woll

AST Woll

Opponent	Result	Points	Goles	Assists
@ Calgary	W 4-2	26-21-9	Woll	Nylander
@ Vancouver	W 3-2 SO	25-21-9	Woll	Woll
@ Seattle	L 5-2	24-21-9	Stolarz	Robertson
vs Buffalo	L 7-4	24-20-9	Woll	Domi
vs Colorado	L 4-1	24-19-9	Woll	Woll

Last 5 Games: EDM

Form:

LWWWL

VS vs Minnesota

L 7-3

PTS 28-20-8

GOL Jarry

AST Bouchard

VS vs San Jose

W 4-3 OT

PTS 28-19-8

GOL Ingram

AST Bouchard

VS vs Anaheim

W 7-4

PTS 27-19-8

GOL Jarry

AST Ekholm

VS vs Washington

W 6-5 OT

PTS 26-19-8

GOL Jarry

AST Bouchard

VS vs Pittsburgh

L 6-2

PTS 25-19-8

GOL Jarry

AST Savoie

Opponent	Result	Points	Goles	Assists
vs Minnesota	L 7-3	28-20-8	Jarry	Bouchard
vs San Jose	W 4-3 OT	28-19-8	Ingram	Bouchard
vs Anaheim	W 7-4	27-19-8	Jarry	Ekholm
vs Washington	W 6-5 OT	26-19-8	Jarry	Bouchard
vs Pittsburgh	L 6-2	25-19-8	Jarry	Savoie

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction | NHL 02.03.26