Predictions Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets | NHL 17.01.26
Last Updated: Jan 19, 2026 12:49 AM
Saturday, 17 Jan 2026
WPG -135
Toronto Maple Leafs
L
L
W
W
W
23-16-8
VS
7:00 PM
Winnipeg Jets
W
W
W
W
L
19-22-5
Game Winner
Winnipeg Jets
Total Points
Under
5.5
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Game Analysis | 18-01-2026 | NHL
On January 18, 2026, the NHL regular season brings a compelling matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs (23-16-8) and the Winnipeg Jets (19-22-5) at Canada Life Centre. This cross-conference battle pits a Toronto squad looking to solidify its playoff position against a Winnipeg team striving to turn its season around on home ice.
Toronto Maple Leafs Team Performance
The Toronto Maple Leafs have shown flashes of brilliance this season, particularly on offense, yet their 23-16-8 record indicates a struggle with consistency. While capable of high-scoring outbursts, defensive lapses and injury woes have often undermined their efforts. Their power play remains a significant threat, but even strength play and goaltending stability have been areas of concern. The recent conditioning assignment for Dakota Mermis and the ongoing recovery of Anthony Stolarz highlight their depth challenges.
Toronto Maple Leafs Key Players
- Points: John Tavares (42)
- Goals: Auston Matthews (23)
- Assists: Matthew Knies (28)
Injury Report Toronto Maple Leafs
- Dakota Mermis (Injured reserve): Mermis (lower body) was assigned to AHL Toronto on Monday for a conditioning assignment.
- Anthony Stolarz (Injured reserve): Stolarz (upper body) was facing shots prior to practice Saturday, David Alter of The Hockey News reports.
- Chris Tanev (Injured reserve): Tanev (groin) is expected to miss a significant amount of time, according to Jonas Siegel of The Athletic on Wednesday.
- Dakota Joshua (Injured reserve): Joshua (upper body) is expected to miss a significant amount of time, Anna Dua of Sportsnet reports Wednesday.
Winnipeg Jets Team Performance
The Winnipeg Jets enter this contest with a challenging 19-22-5 record, indicating a season marred by inconsistency and struggles to find a winning rhythm. Despite strong individual performances, particularly from their top line, the Jets have often faltered in defensive zone coverage and secondary scoring. Their recent form suggests a team fighting to stay competitive, relying heavily on home-ice advantage to spark a turnaround. Injuries to key defensemen like Colin Miller and Haydn Fleury further complicate their defensive structure.
Winnipeg Jets Key Players
- Points: Mark Scheifele (58)
- Goals: Mark Scheifele (23)
- Assists: Mark Scheifele (35)
Injury Report Winnipeg Jets
- Colin Miller (Injured reserve): Miller (lower body) is considered week-to-week, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets’ official site reports Wednesday.
- Haydn Fleury (Injured reserve): Head coach Scott Arniel said Wednesday that Fleury (upper body) is considered week-to-week, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets’ official site reports.
Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets
Considering the home-ice advantage for Winnipeg and Toronto’s ongoing defensive injury concerns with Tanev and Joshua out, this game sets up to be a tight affair. While Toronto’s offense is potent, the Jets will likely play a structured, defensive game to counter. The absence of key defensive pieces for both teams could lead to cautious play, resulting in fewer overall goals. We predict the Winnipeg Jets to secure a narrow victory at home, with the total goals staying under 5.5.
Last 5 Games: TOR
Form:
LLWWW
VS
@ Vegas
L 6-5 OT
PTS
23-16-8
GOL
Woll
AST
Maccelli
VS
@ Utah
L 6-1
PTS
23-16-7
GOL
Hildeby
AST
Ekman-Larsson
VS
@ Colorado
W 4-3 OT
PTS
23-15-7
GOL
Woll
AST
Nylander
VS
vs Vancouver
W 5-0
PTS
22-15-7
GOL
Woll
AST
Woll
VS
@ Philadelphia
W 2-1 OT
PTS
21-15-7
GOL
Hildeby
AST
Hildeby
| Opponent | Result | Points | Goles | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Vegas | L 6-5 OT | 23-16-8 | Woll | Maccelli |
| @ Utah | L 6-1 | 23-16-7 | Hildeby | Ekman-Larsson |
| @ Colorado | W 4-3 OT | 23-15-7 | Woll | Nylander |
| vs Vancouver | W 5-0 | 22-15-7 | Woll | Woll |
| @ Philadelphia | W 2-1 OT | 21-15-7 | Hildeby | Hildeby |
Last 5 Games: WPG
Form:
WWWWL
VS
@ Minnesota
W 6-2
PTS
19-22-5
GOL
Hellebuyck
AST
Scheifele
VS
vs New York
W 5-4
PTS
18-22-5
GOL
Hellebuyck
AST
Morrissey
VS
vs New Jersey
W 4-3
PTS
17-22-5
GOL
Hellebuyck
AST
Perfetti
VS
vs Los Angeles
W 5-1
PTS
16-22-5
GOL
Comrie
AST
Comrie
VS
vs Edmonton
L 4-3
PTS
15-22-5
GOL
Hellebuyck
AST
Morrissey
| Opponent | Result | Points | Goles | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Minnesota | W 6-2 | 19-22-5 | Hellebuyck | Scheifele |
| vs New York | W 5-4 | 18-22-5 | Hellebuyck | Morrissey |
| vs New Jersey | W 4-3 | 17-22-5 | Hellebuyck | Perfetti |
| vs Los Angeles | W 5-1 | 16-22-5 | Comrie | Comrie |
| vs Edmonton | L 4-3 | 15-22-5 | Hellebuyck | Morrissey |
Written by Matt Dorsey
5 YEARS EXPERIENCE
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
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