DEN @ DET
UTAH @ IND
NY @ WSH
LAL @ BKN
O
TOP
O/U
ATL @ MIA
BOS @ DAL
TOP
CHI @ MIL
ORL @ OKC
TOP
PHI @ GS
PHX @ POR
CBJ @ NJ
WSH @ PHI
TOP
OTT @ CAR
BUF @ TB
PIT @ NYI
TOR @ EDM
TOP
SEA @ ANA

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction | NHL 02.03.26

Last Updated: Feb 3, 2026 2:15 AM
Tuesday, 03 Feb 2026 TB -192
Buffalo Sabres

Buffalo Sabres

W L W W W
32-18-5
VS 7:30 PM
Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

W W W L W
35-14-4

Game Spread

TB -1.5

Total Points

Over 6.5

Detailed Analysis

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game Analysis | 02.03.26 | NHL

This regular-season matchup on 02.03.26 at 7:30 PM in Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, pits the Buffalo Sabres (32-18-5) against the formidable Tampa Bay Lightning (35-14-4). Both teams have demonstrated strong performances this season, setting the stage for a compelling contest with significant implications for playoff positioning.

Buffalo Sabres Team Performance

The Buffalo Sabres enter this game with a commendable 32-18-5 record, showcasing an offense capable of high output. Their strength lies in a dynamic forward group and an emerging defensive core led by Rasmus Dahlin. While they can generate significant scoring chances, consistency in their defensive zone and goaltending has occasionally been a point of vulnerability. The Sabres will need to tighten their structure against a potent Lightning attack.

Buffalo Sabres Key Players

  • Points: Tage Thompson (57)
  • Goals: Tage Thompson (29)
  • Assists: Rasmus Dahlin (35)

Injury Report Buffalo Sabres

  • Zach Benson (Day-to-day): Benson is being evaluated for an upper-body injury after leaving Monday’s 5-3 win over the Panthers in the third period, per Rachel Lenzi of The Buffalo News.
  • Josh Norris (Injured reserve): Head coach Lindy Ruff said that Norris (ribs) is progressing in his recovery but won’t play in Monday’s game against the Panthers, Paul Hamilton of WGR Sports Radio 550 reports.
  • Justin Danforth (Injured reserve): Danforth (lower body) is trending toward a post-Olympic return to action, Bill Hoppe of the Olean Times Herald reports Monday.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Performance

The Tampa Bay Lightning, with a stellar 35-14-4 record, continue to assert themselves as a top-tier contender. Their offense, spearheaded by a generational talent, is among the league’s most dangerous, particularly on the power play. Defensively, the presence of Victor Hedman and a strong goaltending tandem provides a solid foundation. The Lightning’s ability to capitalize on opposition mistakes and maintain offensive zone pressure makes them a formidable opponent at home.

Tampa Bay Lightning Key Players

  • Points: Nikita Kucherov (86)
  • Goals: Nikita Kucherov (28)
  • Assists: Nikita Kucherov (58)

Injury Report Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Brayden Point (Injured reserve): Point (lower body) was placed on injured reserve Friday, per the NHL media site.

Prediction: Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Despite the Sabres’ offensive prowess, the Lightning’s superior record, home-ice advantage, and the sheer dominance of Nikita Kucherov are critical factors. The absence of Brayden Point is significant, but Tampa Bay’s depth and defensive structure should compensate. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, an elevated goal count is likely.

Predicted Winner: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (Spread)
Total Goals Prediction: Over 6.5

Last 5 Games: BUF

Form:
WLWWW
VS @ Florida
W 5-3
PTS 32-18-5
GOL Lyon
AST Lyon
VS vs Montreal
L 4-2
PTS 31-18-5
GOL Lyon
AST Thompson
VS vs Los Angeles
W 4-1
PTS 31-17-5
GOL Lyon
AST Lyon
VS @ Toronto
W 7-4
PTS 30-17-5
GOL Ellis
AST Dahlin
VS @ New York
W 5-0
PTS 29-17-5
GOL Lyon
AST Lyon

Last 5 Games: TB

Form:
WWWLW
VS vs Boston *
W 6-5 SO
PTS 35-14-4
GOL Vasilevskiy
AST Kucherov
VS vs Winnipeg
W 4-1
PTS 34-14-4
GOL Vasilevskiy
AST Raddysh
VS vs Utah
W 2-0
PTS 33-14-4
GOL Vasilevskiy
AST Vasilevskiy
VS @ Columbus
L 8-5
PTS 32-14-4
GOL Johansson
AST Kucherov
VS @ Chicago
W 2-1 SO
PTS 32-13-4
GOL Vasilevskiy
AST Vasilevskiy
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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