DEN @ DET
UTAH @ IND
NY @ WSH
LAL @ BKN
O
TOP
O/U
ATL @ MIA
BOS @ DAL
TOP
CHI @ MIL
ORL @ OKC
TOP
PHI @ GS
PHX @ POR
CBJ @ NJ
WSH @ PHI
TOP
OTT @ CAR
BUF @ TB
PIT @ NYI
TOR @ EDM
TOP
SEA @ ANA

Predictions Houston Texans vs New England Patriots – NFL 18.01.26

Last Updated: Jan 16, 2026 11:48 PM
Sunday, January 18, 2026
Houston Texans

Houston Texans

12-5
VS 10:00 AM
New England Patriots

New England Patriots

14-3

Game Winner

New England Patriots

Tale of the Tape

Houston Texans Stat Comparison New England Patriots
23.765 PPG 28.824
232.706 PYPG 260.353
108.941 RYPG 128.882
- YPG Allowed -

Key Matchup: Top Performers

VS
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud

3,041 YDS
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

4,394 YDS

Detailed Analysis

Preview: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots | 18-01-2026

A postseason atmosphere descends on Gillette Stadium as the AFC East champion New England Patriots (14-3) host the surging Houston Texans (12-5). This late-season clash pits one of the league’s most dominant offenses against a ferocious defensive unit, carrying significant implications for playoff seeding and momentum as the regular season winds down.

Team Radiography

Houston Texans

Offense: Averaging 23.765 points per game, the Texans offense is a serviceable unit, largely powered by 232.706 passing yards and a persistent 108.941 rushing yards. Consistency has been their challenge, but flashes of brilliance are undeniable.

Defense: Houston’s defense is their identity. A league-leading 47 sacks underscores their relentless pass rush, while 19 interceptions and 14 forced fumbles highlight a ball-hawking secondary and opportunistic front. They disrupt, they create, they score.

New England Patriots

Offense: The Patriots boast one of the NFL’s most potent attacks, averaging 28.824 points per game. Their balanced approach features 260.353 passing yards and an effective 128.882 rushing yards, making them incredibly difficult to defend. Execution is paramount.

Defense: While not as flashy in turnovers (10 interceptions, 10 forced fumbles) or sacks (35) as Houston, New England’s defense is fundamentally sound and disciplined. They limit big plays and force offenses into long, grinding drives.

Keys to the Game

This battle hinges on the Texans’ defensive line against New England’s offensive line and quarterback. Can Houston’s league-leading 47 sacks generate consistent pressure and force critical turnovers from the Patriots’ high-efficiency passing attack? Conversely, New England’s ability to establish their 128.882 rushing yards will dictate the pace and open up play-action for their potent passing game. If the Patriots can control the line of scrimmage, Houston’s ball-hawking secondary becomes less effective. For Houston’s offense, converting drives into points against a disciplined Patriots defense, avoiding critical mistakes, is paramount to keeping pace.

Predictions Houston Texans vs New England Patriots | 18-01-2026

New England’s offensive prowess and home-field advantage give them the edge in what should be a hard-fought contest. The Patriots’ ability to maintain drives and protect the ball will ultimately outweigh Houston’s disruptive defense. Expect a competitive game with both offenses finding success at times. New England Patriots win, with the total points projection falling Over the 40.5 line.

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.