Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.23.26
Utah Jazz
Houston Rockets
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
B. Sensabaugh
K. Durant
Detailed Analysis
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.23.26
The Toyota Center prepares for a Western Conference showdown this Monday, February 23, 2026, as the Houston Rockets (34-21) host the struggling Utah Jazz (18-39). While Houston is jockeying for high playoff seeding behind a rejuvenated veteran core, Utah is firmly in evaluation mode, leaning heavily on their rookie and sophomore talent amidst a devastating wave of frontcourt injuries.
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Matchup Preview
Utah Jazz Key Stats & Trends
The Jazz enter this contest severely shorthanded. The offense currently flows through Isaiah Collier, who has been a bright spot with 10.7 PPG and 7.4 APG, showcasing elite vision for a young guard. Brice Sensabaugh leads the scoring effort at 12.5 PPG, but the team’s efficiency has plummeted. Defensively, Utah is vulnerable; without their primary rim protectors, they lack the verticality to contest elite finishers.
- Points: Brice Sensabaugh (12.5)
- Rebounds: Kyle Filipowski (6.6)
- Assists: Isaiah Collier (7.4)
- Rating: Isaiah Collier (10.7 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 7.4 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.3 BPG)
Injury Report Utah Jazz
- Keyonte George (Out): George (ankle) is questionable for Monday’s game in Houston.
- Lauri Markkanen (Out): Markkanen (illness) is probable for Monday’s game against the Rockets.
- Jusuf Nurkic (Out): Nurkic (nose) has been ruled out for Monday’s game in Houston.
- Jaren Jackson Jr. (Out): Jackson was diagnosed with a localized PVNS growth in his left knee and will miss the remainder of the season.
- Walker Kessler (Out): Kessler will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Houston Rockets Key Stats & Trends
Houston is a powerhouse fueled by Kevin Durant, who remains a scoring machine averaging 26.1 PPG. The hub of the offense, however, is Alperen Sengun, whose 9.1 RPG and 6.3 APG allow Houston to exploit mismatches. Despite the loss of VanVleet, the Rockets’ offensive rating remains top-tier due to their ability to dominate the paint and transition scoring.
- Points: Kevin Durant (26.1)
- Rebounds: Alperen Sengun (9.1)
- Assists: Alperen Sengun (6.3)
- Rating: Kevin Durant (26.1 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.4 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.9 BPG)
Injury Report Houston Rockets
- Jae’Sean Tate (Out): Tate (knee) is out for Monday’s game against the Jazz.
- Steven Adams (Out): Adams has undergone season-ending left ankle surgery.
- Fred VanVleet (Out): VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign.
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Best Bet
The disparity in available talent is overwhelming. Utah is missing its two best defenders in Kessler and Jackson Jr., leaving the paint wide open for Sengun and Durant. Houston’s offensive firepower should overwhelm a Jazz roster that is currently 21 games under .500. Expect a high-scoring affair as Utah plays at a fast pace but lacks the defensive personnel to stop Houston’s stars. We are backing the Houston Rockets -14.5 (Spread) and taking the over on the 226.5 total points line.
Last 5 Games: UTAH
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Memphis | L 123-114 | Collier 24 | Williams 9 | Collier 5 |
| vs Portland | L 135-119 | Sensabaugh 28 | Filipowski 9 | Collier 9 |
| vs Sacramento | W 121-93 | Jackson Jr. 23 | Nurkic 9 | Collier 14 |
| @ Miami | W 115-111 | Jackson Jr. 22 | Nurkic 16 | Collier 9 |
| @ Orlando | L 120-117 | Markkanen 27 | Nurkic 14 | Collier 10 |
Last 5 Games: HOU
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ New York | L 108-106 | Durant 30 | Eason 12 | Thompson 7 |
| @ Charlotte | W 105-101 | Durant 35 | Durant 8 | Sengun 7 |
| vs LA | L 105-102 | Durant 21 | Smith Jr. 12 | Durant 6 |
| vs LA | W 102-95 | Durant 26 | Smith Jr. 10 | Sengun 5 |
| @ Oklahoma City | W 112-106 | Eason 26 | Sengun 12 | Sengun 11 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
