Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.28.26
Toronto Raptors
Washington Wizards
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
B. Ingram
K. George
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.28.26
On February 28, 2026, the Toronto Raptors (34-25) travel to the Capital One Arena to face the Washington Wizards (16-42). While the records suggest a lopsided affair, this matchup presents a unique challenge for Toronto as they look to maintain their playoff seeding against a Washington roster currently defined by its “next man up” mentality due to an extensive injury list.
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards Matchup Preview
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Raptors enter this contest as a balanced offensive unit led by Brandon Ingram, who is averaging 21.8 points per game. Toronto’s success stems from the versatility of Scottie Barnes, who anchors the team with a 19.1 rating, contributing 19.1 PPG, 8.2 RPG, and elite defensive stats (1.6 BPG). With Immanuel Quickley orchestrating the floor (5.9 APG), the Raptors boast a top-tier transition game that will likely exploit Washington’s depleted frontcourt.
- Points: Brandon Ingram (21.8)
- Rebounds: Scottie Barnes (8.2)
- Assists: Immanuel Quickley (5.9)
- Rating: Scottie Barnes (19.1 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.4 SPG, 1.6 BPG)
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Collin Murray-Boyles (Day-to-day): Murray-Boyles is doubtful for Saturday’s game against the Wizards with a left thumb sprain, per Josh Lewenberg of TSN.ca.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn (knee) was spotted Wednesday no longer using crutches, Ryan Wolstat of the Toronto Sun reports.
Washington Wizards Key Stats & Trends
Washington is navigating a difficult stretch with several stars sidelined. In the absence of veteran leadership, Kyshawn George has emerged as a primary playmaker, leading the team in points (14.8) and assists (4.6). The Wizards’ rebounding will rely heavily on Justin Champagnie (5.6 RPG), but the lack of interior depth remains a glaring weakness against Toronto’s length.
- Points: Kyshawn George (14.8)
- Rebounds: Justin Champagnie (5.6)
- Assists: Kyshawn George (4.6)
- Rating: Kyshawn George (14.8 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 4.6 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.9 BPG)
Injury Report Washington Wizards
- Trae Young (Out): Young (knee/quadriceps) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against Toronto.
- D’Angelo Russell (Out): Russell (not with team) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Raptors.
- Will Riley (Day-to-day): Riley is questionable for Saturday’s game against Toronto with a right ankle contusion.
- Kyshawn George (Day-to-day): George (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Raptors.
- Tristan Vukcevic (Day-to-day): Vukcevic is questionable for Saturday’s game against Toronto with a left hip impingement.
- Alex Sarr (Out): Sarr (hamstring) is being considered week-to-week, Wizards’ sideline reporter Meghan McPeak reports.
- Anthony Davis (Out): Davis (finger) has yet to be cleared for basketball activities and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to NBA reporter Marc Stein.
- Cam Whitmore (Out): Whitmore has begun the recovery process for a diagnosed venous condition and he will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Best Bet
While the Raptors are the clear favorites, a 14.5-point spread is historically high for a road team. Washington’s young core, led by George, often plays with high energy at home. However, the absence of Anthony Davis and Trae Young leaves the Wizards without a defensive anchor or a late-game closer. We expect Toronto to win, but the Wizards to keep it just close enough to cover the massive spread.
Regarding the total, we like the over (226.5). Toronto’s efficient offense against Washington’s 28th-ranked defense suggests a high-scoring affair. Our pick: Washington Wizards +14.5 (Spread) and the over.
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San Antonio | L 110-107 | Ingram 20 | Ingram 11 | Ingram 4 |
| vs Oklahoma City | L 116-107 | Barrett 21 | Barrett 8 | Barnes 7 |
| @ Milwaukee | W 122-94 | Quickley 32 | Poeltl 8 | Quickley 9 |
| @ Chicago | W 110-101 | Ingram 31 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 6 |
| vs Detroit | L 113-95 | Quickley 18 | Barnes 7 | Quickley 5 |
Last 5 Games: WSH
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | L 126-96 | Riley 14 | Riley 10 | Carrington 5 |
| @ Atlanta | L 119-98 | Riley 18 | Carrington 10 | Carrington 7 |
| vs Charlotte | L 129-112 | Coulibaly 17 | Williams 7 | Riley 4 |
| vs Indiana | W 131-118 | Williams 25 | Williams 10 | Carrington 7 |
| vs Indiana | W 112-105 | Gill 13 | Gill 8 | Cooper 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.