Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction | 01.21.26
Toronto Raptors
Sacramento Kings
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 21-01-2026
The regular-season grind brings us a compelling matchup as the Toronto Raptors (26-19) travel to the Golden 1 Center to face the Sacramento Kings (12-32) on January 21, 2026, at 10:00 PM EST. This clash presents a stark contrast in team trajectories, with Toronto aiming to solidify its playoff position and Sacramento desperately seeking a turnaround.
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Matchup Preview
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Toronto Raptors enter this contest with a respectable record, driven by a balanced attack and strong defensive principles. Their offense is spearheaded by Brandon Ingram, who averages an impressive 21.7 points per game. The versatile Scottie Barnes is the team’s engine, leading in rebounds with 8.2 per game and showcasing an exceptional all-around game with a rating of 19.7 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 5.5 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 1.3 BPG. Playmaking duties are capably handled by Immanuel Quickley, dishing out 6.2 assists per game. Despite their solid standing, the Raptors’ recent form has been inconsistent, often struggling to maintain offensive efficiency without their full complement of players.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Collin Murray-Boyles (Day-to-day): Murray-Boyles (thumb) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against Golden State.
- Ja’Kobe Walter (Out): Walter (hip) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Warriors.
- Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl (back) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against Golden State.
- RJ Barrett (Out): Barrett (ankle) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Warriors.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points (6-10 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats.
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Sacramento Kings have endured a challenging season, reflected in their disappointing 12-32 record. Offensively, Zach LaVine leads the charge with 19.8 points per game, providing much-needed scoring punch. Domantas Sabonis remains a dominant force in the paint, averaging 15.4 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.2 BPG, consistently delivering double-doubles. Rebounding support comes from Maxime Raynaud with 6.6 boards per game, while veteran Russell Westbrook orchestrates the offense, tallying 7.0 assists per game. However, the Kings have struggled defensively and with overall team cohesion, particularly against stronger opponents.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- Keegan Murray (Out): Murray (ankle), who won’t play in Monday’s game against Dallas, is expected to miss at least three weeks, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Best Bet
Despite a significant injury list, the Toronto Raptors possess a deeper and more cohesive unit than the struggling Sacramento Kings. The absence of key players like RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl will test Toronto’s depth, but the all-around brilliance of Scottie Barnes and the scoring prowess of Brandon Ingram should provide enough firepower. The Kings, already reeling from a poor season, will be without Keegan Murray for an extended period, further weakening their rotation. While Sacramento has individual talent in LaVine and Sabonis, their collective defensive struggles and lack of consistent support make them vulnerable. Expect Toronto’s youthful energy and superior team play to overcome their injury woes against a Kings team that simply hasn’t found its rhythm.
Prediction: Toronto Raptors -5.5 (Spread)
Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and the Kings’ defensive inconsistencies, an up-tempo game with plenty of scoring opportunities is anticipated. The total points line of 226.5 seems attainable.
Over/Under Pick: Over 226.5
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Golden State | W 145-127 | Quickley 40 | Mamukelashvili 12 | Barnes 11 |
| @ Los Angeles | L 110-93 | Barnes 22 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 7 |
| vs LA | L 121-117 OT | Barnes 24 | Barnes 7 | Shead 13 |
| @ Indiana | W 115-101 | Ingram 30 | Dick 11 | Barnes 13 |
| vs Philadelphia | L 115-102 | Quickley 18 | Ingram 10 | Ingram 7 |
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | L 130-117 | DeRozan 23 | Cardwell 12 | Westbrook 7 |
| vs Portland | L 117-110 | Westbrook 23 | Cardwell 10 | Westbrook 7 |
| vs Washington | W 128-115 | Westbrook 26 | Cardwell 9 | Westbrook 6 |
| vs New York | W 112-101 | DeRozan 27 | Achiuwa 14 | Westbrook 11 |
| vs Los Angeles | W 124-112 | DeRozan 32 | Achiuwa 7 | Monk 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.