Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction | 01.25.26

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 25-01-2026

In a compelling regular-season matchup, the Toronto Raptors (28-19) travel to the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City to face the formidable Oklahoma City Thunder (37-9) on January 25, 2026, at 7:00 PM EST. This clash pits a playoff-contending Raptors squad against one of the league’s elite teams, promising an insightful look into both franchises’ current trajectories.

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Matchup Preview

Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends

The Toronto Raptors enter this game with a solid, albeit inconsistent, record. Their offensive attack is spearheaded by Brandon Ingram, who averages an impressive 21.7 points per game. The versatile Scottie Barnes continues to be the team’s engine, leading in rebounds with 8.2 per game and showcasing an exceptional all-around game with 19.7 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 5.5 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 1.4 BPG. Playmaking often runs through Immanuel Quickley, who dishes out 6.3 assists per game. However, Toronto’s recent form has been patchy, struggling particularly on the road and against top-tier defensive units. Their interior defense and rebounding will be significantly tested in this contest.

Injury Report Toronto Raptors

• Immanuel Quickley (Day-to-day): Quickley is now questionable for Sunday’s game against Oklahoma City due to right ankle soreness, a significant blow to their backcourt depth.
• Ja’Kobe Walter (Out): Walter (hip) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against OKC.
• Collin Murray-Boyles (Out): Murray-Boyles (thumb) is questionable for Sunday’s game in Oklahoma City, impacting frontcourt depth.
• Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl (back) isn’t with the team on their road trip and is seeing a specialist in Toronto, leaving a major void in their interior defense and rebounding.
• Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points, 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats.

Oklahoma City Thunder Key Stats & Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder are having an MVP-caliber season, boasting one of the best records in the league. Their success is largely attributed to the phenomenal play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who leads the team in scoring with 32.3 points per game and assists with 6.2 per game. SGA’s efficiency and clutch play make him a constant threat. Chet Holmgren anchors the defense and provides crucial scoring, leading the team with 8.5 rebounds per game. The Thunder’s fast-paced offense and stifling defense, particularly at home, make them incredibly difficult to beat. Their youth and athleticism allow them to maintain high energy levels throughout games.

Injury Report Oklahoma City Thunder

• Ajay Mitchell (Out): Mitchell (abdomen) won’t play Sunday against the Raptors.
• Alex Caruso (Out): Caruso (adductor) won’t play Sunday versus the Raptors, impacting their perimeter defense.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (Out): Hartenstein (calf) won’t play in Sunday’s game against Toronto, reducing frontcourt depth.
• Aaron Wiggins (Day-to-day): Wiggins is questionable to play Sunday versus the Raptors due to a right hip impingement.
• Jalen Williams (Out): Williams (hamstring) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, a significant loss to their offensive firepower.
• Nikola Topic (Out): Topic has been diagnosed with testicular cancer, a challenging situation for the young player.
• Thomas Sorber (Out): Sorber has sustained a torn ACL in his right knee during an offseason workout.

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Best Bet

The Thunder, despite some notable injuries, still possess an overwhelming advantage, especially at home. Their core of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren is simply too potent for a Raptors team missing key defensive anchors like Jakob Poeltl and potentially their primary playmaker, Immanuel Quickley. Toronto’s interior defense will be severely compromised, allowing Holmgren to operate freely and giving SGA clear lanes to the basket. While Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes will certainly put up points, it won’t be enough to contain OKC’s balanced attack. The Thunder’s superior record, home-court dominance, and the Raptors’ significant injury woes make this a clear choice.

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 (Spread)

Regarding the total points line of 224.5, both teams feature dynamic offenses. Even with Jalen Williams out, the Thunder’s pace and SGA’s scoring prowess are immense. Toronto, needing to compensate for defensive deficiencies, will likely push the tempo and rely on Ingram and Barnes for offense. With Poeltl out, the Raptors’ defense is vulnerable, which should lead to more scoring opportunities for OKC. Expect a higher-scoring affair given the offensive talent and defensive gaps.

Total Points Pick: Over 224.5