Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.22.26
Toronto Raptors
Milwaukee Bucks
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
B. Ingram
R. Rollins
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.22.26
The Eastern Conference landscape faces a pivotal shift this Sunday as the Toronto Raptors (33-23) travel to the Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (24-30). While Toronto enters as a solidified playoff contender, Milwaukee is fighting to keep their season alive amidst a wave of significant injuries to their core rotation.
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Matchup Preview
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Raptors have found a rhythm behind the elite scoring of Brandon Ingram, who currently leads the team with 22.0 PPG and 5.8 RPG. His ability to create shots late in the shot clock has been the catalyst for Toronto’s winning record. Facilitating the offense is Immanuel Quickley, whose 6.0 APG keeps the ball moving. Despite missing Scottie Barnes, the Raptors’ depth—featuring RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl—remains a significant advantage over a depleted Bucks roster.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Scottie Barnes (Out): Barnes (personal) has been ruled out for Sunday’s game in Milwaukee.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points, 15 assists, and three steals in 35 minutes during a recent G League assignment.
Milwaukee Bucks Key Stats & Trends
Milwaukee is in a state of transition. With their superstars sidelined, Ryan Rollins has stepped into a high-usage role, averaging 17.1 PPG and 5.5 APG. Bobby Portis continues to provide double-double energy with 6.7 RPG, while Kevin Porter Jr. has been a bright spot, contributing 17.6 PPG and 7.6 APG. However, the Bucks’ defense has plummeted without their primary rim protectors, making them vulnerable in the paint.
Injury Report Milwaukee Bucks
- Myles Turner (Out): Turner (calf) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Raptors.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Out): Antetokounmpo (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday’s game against the Raptors.
- Taurean Prince (Out): The Bucks applied for a Disabled Player Exception for Prince, indicating he is likely out for the remainder of the season.
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Best Bet
The absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo is the deciding factor in this matchup. Without his defensive gravity and transition scoring, Milwaukee lacks the firepower to match Toronto’s wing depth. We expect Brandon Ingram to exploit the Bucks’ weakened interior defense.
Our definitive pick is Toronto Raptors -2.5 (Spread). Furthermore, considering both teams are missing their primary offensive engines (Barnes and Giannis), the pace is expected to slow down significantly. Take the under on the 222.5 total points line, as this will likely be a defensive-minded struggle in the half-court.
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 110-101 | Ingram 31 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 6 |
| vs Detroit | L 113-95 | Quickley 18 | Barnes 7 | Quickley 5 |
| vs Indiana | W 122-104 | Barnes 25 | Barnes 14 | Barnes 6 |
| vs Chicago | W 123-107 | Ingram 33 | Ingram 6 | Shead 8 |
| vs Minnesota | L 128-126 | Ingram 25 | Barnes 10 | Quickley 8 |
Last 5 Games: MIL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ New Orleans | W 139-118 | Thomas 27 | Portis 11 | Porter Jr. 7 |
| @ Oklahoma City | W 110-93 | Dieng 19 | Portis 12 | Porter Jr. 7 |
| @ Orlando | W 116-108 | Thomas 34 | Sims 11 | Porter Jr. 11 |
| @ Orlando | L 118-99 | Porter Jr. 28 | Green 6 | Porter Jr. 7 |
| vs Indiana | W 105-99 | Porter Jr. 23 | Sims 15 | Porter Jr. 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
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