Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Prediction | 01.20.26
Toronto Raptors
Golden State Warriors
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 20-01-2026
As the NBA regular season rolls into January, a compelling cross-conference clash awaits on January 20, 2026, at 10:00 PM EST in the Chase Center, San Francisco. The Toronto Raptors (25-19) travel west to face the Golden State Warriors (25-19) in a matchup between two teams vying for playoff positioning, both currently holding identical records.
Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Toronto Raptors have established themselves as a competitive unit this season, showcasing a blend of youth and burgeoning talent. Their offense is spearheaded by Brandon Ingram, who leads the team with an impressive 21.7 points per game, providing a consistent scoring punch. The heart of the team, however, lies with Scottie Barnes, whose all-around brilliance is reflected in his 19.6 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.4 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 1.4 BPG, making him a true two-way force and the team’s highest-rated player. Immanuel Quickley orchestrates much of the offense, dishing out 6.1 assists per game. Despite their solid record, the Raptors face significant challenges entering this contest, particularly with key personnel sidelined.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Collin Murray-Boyles (Out): Murray-Boyles (thumb) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against Golden State.
- Ja’Kobe Walter (Out): Walter (hip) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Warriors.
- Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl (back) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against Golden State, a major blow to their interior defense and rebounding.
- RJ Barrett (Out): Barrett (ankle) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Warriors, impacting their wing scoring and depth.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points (6-10 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats.
Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends
The Golden State Warriors, matching the Raptors’ record, continue to rely on their veteran core and dynamic offensive firepower, especially at home. Unsurprisingly, Stephen Curry remains the catalyst, averaging an elite 27.6 points per game, complemented by 3.8 RPG, 4.9 APG, 1.1 SPG, and 0.5 BPG, making him the team’s highest-rated player and primary offensive threat. Draymond Green anchors the defense and facilitates the offense, contributing 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. The Warriors will look to leverage their experience and home-court advantage against a shorthanded Raptors squad.
Injury Report Golden State Warriors
- Draymond Green (Expected to Play): Head coach Steve Kerr said that Green (ankle), who has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Heat, is expected to play in Tuesday’s matchup versus the Raptors, Anthony Slater of ESPN.com reports.
- Gui Santos (Out): Santos (ankle) is out for Monday’s game against the Heat.
- De’Anthony Melton (Out): Melton has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Heat due to left knee injury management.
- Seth Curry (Out): The Warriors announced Sunday that Curry is making progress in his recovery from a sciatic nerve issue and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup presents an intriguing dynamic. While the Raptors are significantly impacted by injuries to key starters Jakob Poeltl and RJ Barrett, their core of Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, and Immanuel Quickley still provides substantial offensive firepower. The Warriors, on the other hand, benefit immensely from the expected return of Draymond Green, who is crucial for their defense and playmaking, alongside the ever-dangerous Stephen Curry. Despite Golden State’s home-court advantage and the Raptors’ injuries, Toronto’s remaining talent and competitive spirit suggest they can keep this game tight. The Warriors, while potent, have shown inconsistencies this season. Therefore, our prediction is Toronto Raptors +3.5 (Spread). For the total points, both teams possess significant offensive capabilities. With Poeltl out for Toronto, their interior defense might be compromised, potentially leading to more scoring opportunities for the Warriors. Conversely, the Raptors’ primary scorers can still light up the scoreboard. We anticipate an up-tempo game, making the pick Over 226.5 total points.
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 110-93 | Barnes 22 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 7 |
| vs LA | L 121-117 OT | Barnes 24 | Barnes 7 | Shead 13 |
| @ Indiana | W 115-101 | Ingram 30 | Dick 11 | Barnes 13 |
| vs Philadelphia | L 115-102 | Quickley 18 | Ingram 10 | Ingram 7 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 116-115 OT | Barnes 31 | Murray-Boyles 15 | Barnes 8 |
Last 5 Games: GS
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami | W 135-112 | Podziemski 24 | Post 9 | Curry 11 |
| vs Charlotte | W 136-116 | Melton 24 | Post 7 | Podziemski 7 |
| vs New York | W 126-113 | Butler III 32 | Butler III 8 | Curry 7 |
| vs Portland | W 119-97 | Melton 23 | Green 7 | Curry 11 |
| vs Atlanta | L 124-111 | Curry 31 | Green 9 | Butler III 6 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.