San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.25.26
San Antonio Spurs
Toronto Raptors
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
V. Wembanyama
B. Ingram
Detailed Analysis
San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.25.26
As the NBA season enters its final stretch, the San Antonio Spurs (41-16) travel to Scotiabank Arena to face the Toronto Raptors (34-24) on February 25, 2026. This matchup features a fascinating contrast between San Antonio’s elite interior defense and Toronto’s versatile wing-heavy rotation. With the Spurs eyeing a top seed in the West, this cross-conference battle carries significant postseason implications.
San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Preview
San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends
The Spurs have emerged as a defensive juggernaut, primarily fueled by the historic production of Victor Wembanyama. Averaging 24.2 PPG, 11.3 RPG, and 2.8 BPG, Wembanyama alters the geometry of the court. Complementing his dominance is rookie sensation Stephon Castle, whose 6.9 APG has stabilized the Spurs’ half-court offense. San Antonio excels in transition, ranking in the top five for points off turnovers.
Injury Report San Antonio Spurs
- Mason Plumlee (Out): Plumlee (reconditioning) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Raptors.
- David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Raptors remain a dangerous out at home, led by the scoring prowess of Brandon Ingram (21.9 PPG) and the all-around brilliance of Scottie Barnes (19.1 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.6 APG). Toronto’s success hinges on Immanuel Quickley’s ability to push the pace (6.0 APG). However, their interior depth is currently vulnerable, which could prove problematic against San Antonio’s length.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Jakob Poeltl (Day-to-day): Poeltl (back) is out for Tuesday’s game against the Thunder; his status for Wednesday remains uncertain.
- Scottie Barnes (Day-to-day): Barnes recorded 15 points, seven assists, and four blocks in 32 minutes during Tuesday’s loss, though he is managing high usage fatigue.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points and 15 assists in a recent G League win but remains away from the active NBA roster.
San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bet
The primary mismatch lies in the paint. If Jakob Poeltl remains sidelined, Toronto lacks the size to contain Wembanyama without compromising their perimeter defense. While Ingram and Barnes provide high-level scoring, the Spurs’ defensive rating with Wembanyama on the floor is league-leading. Expect San Antonio to exploit the Raptors’ tired legs on the second night of a back-to-back.
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 (Spread). We also anticipate a high-scoring affair given Toronto’s recent defensive lapses and San Antonio’s efficiency; take the over on the 229.5 total points line.
Last 5 Games: SA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Detroit | W 114-103 | Vassell 28 | Wembanyama 17 | Castle 11 |
| vs Sacramento | W 139-122 | Wembanyama 28 | Wembanyama 15 | Wembanyama 6 |
| vs Phoenix | W 121-94 | Castle 20 | Wembanyama 11 | Fox 8 |
| @ Golden State | W 126-113 | Fox 27 | Wembanyama 9 | Fox 8 |
| @ Los Angeles | W 136-108 | Wembanyama 40 | Wembanyama 12 | Castle 7 |
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oklahoma City | L 116-107 | Barrett 21 | Barrett 8 | Barnes 7 |
| @ Milwaukee | W 122-94 | Quickley 32 | Poeltl 8 | Quickley 9 |
| @ Chicago | W 110-101 | Ingram 31 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 6 |
| vs Detroit | L 113-95 | Quickley 18 | Barnes 7 | Quickley 5 |
| vs Indiana | W 122-104 | Barnes 25 | Barnes 14 | Barnes 6 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.