San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.10.26
San Antonio Spurs
Los Angeles Lakers
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
V. Wembanyama
L. James
Detailed Analysis
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.10.26
A high-stakes Western Conference clash takes center stage this Tuesday as the San Antonio Spurs (36-16) travel to the crypto.com Arena to face the Los Angeles Lakers (32-19). This matchup features a fascinating contrast between San Antonio’s generational length and the Lakers’ veteran-led perimeter attack. With both teams positioned for a deep playoff run, this 10:30 PM tip-off carries significant implications for the standings.
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers Matchup Preview
San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends
The Spurs have emerged as a defensive juggernaut, anchored by the historic production of Victor Wembanyama. Averaging 23.9 PPG, 11.1 RPG, and 2.7 BPG, Wembanyama alters the geometry of the court. Complementing his interior dominance is rookie sensation Stephon Castle, whose 7.0 APG has stabilized the Spurs’ half-court offense. San Antonio excels in transition, but their bench depth will be tested in this road environment.
- Points: Victor Wembanyama (23.9)
- Rebounds: Victor Wembanyama (11.1)
- Assists: Stephon Castle (7.0)
- Rating: Victor Wembanyama (23.9 PPG, 11.1 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, 2.7 BPG)
Injury Report San Antonio Spurs
- Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Lakers, NBA reporter Matthew Tynan reports.
- David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News reports.
Los Angeles Lakers Key Stats & Trends
The Lakers enter this contest dealing with the significant absence of Luka Doncic. However, Austin Reaves has stepped into a primary scoring role, averaging a staggering 26.1 PPG. LeBron James remains the engine of the offense with 21.8 PPG and 6.8 APG, while Deandre Ayton provides a physical presence on the glass with 8.4 RPG. The Lakers’ success hinges on their ability to space the floor and force Wembanyama away from the rim.
- Points: LeBron James (21.8)
- Rebounds: Deandre Ayton (8.4)
- Assists: LeBron James (6.8)
- Rating: Austin Reaves (26.1 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 6.0 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.2 BPG)
Injury Report Los Angeles Lakers
- Adou Thiero (Out): Thiero was recalled from the G League’s South Bay Lakers on Monday, Ryan Ward of Lakers on SI reports.
- Luka Doncic (Out): Doncic (hamstring) is out for Monday’s game against the Thunder, Daniel Starkand of LakersNation.com reports.
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction & Best Bet
While the loss of Doncic is substantial, the +7.5 spread for the Lakers at home offers significant value. Austin Reaves’ elite efficiency and LeBron James’ tactical brilliance should keep this game competitive until the final whistle. Defensively, Ayton’s size provides a necessary deterrent against Wembanyama’s paint touches. Regarding the total, expect an over on the 230.5 line; San Antonio’s pace and the Lakers’ high-volume perimeter shooting from Reaves and Kennard suggest a high-scoring affair.
Predicted Winner: Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 (Spread)
Total Points Pick: over
Last 5 Games: SA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Dallas | W 138-125 | Castle 40 | Castle 12 | Castle 12 |
| @ Dallas | W 135-123 | Wembanyama 29 | Wembanyama 11 | Fox 7 |
| vs Oklahoma City | W 116-106 | Johnson 25 | Kornet 15 | Fox 10 |
| vs Orlando | W 112-103 | Wembanyama 25 | Johnson 10 | Fox 10 |
| @ Charlotte | L 111-106 | Harper 20 | Wembanyama 8 | Castle 9 |
Last 5 Games: LAL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oklahoma City | L 119-110 | James 22 | Ayton 10 | James 10 |
| vs Golden State | W 105-99 | James 20 | Vanderbilt 8 | James 10 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 119-115 | Reaves 35 | Hachimura 7 | James 10 |
| @ Brooklyn | W 125-109 | James 25 | Ayton 8 | James 7 |
| @ New York | L 112-100 | Doncic 30 | Doncic 15 | Doncic 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.