TOP
ATL @ CHA
WSH @ CLE
MIL @ ORL
CHI @ BOS
IND @ BKN
TOP
NY @ PHI
TOP
DET @ TOR
LAC @ HOU
POR @ MIN
MIA @ NO
OKC @ PHX
SAC @ UTAH
MEM @ DEN
SA @ GS

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.11.26

Last Updated: Feb 11, 2026 3:34 AM
Wednesday, 11 Feb 2026 SA -7.5
San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

W W W W W
37-16
VS 10:00 PM
Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors

W L W L L
29-25

Game Spread

GS +7.5

Total Points

Over 221.5

Tale of the Tape

SA Stat Comparison GS
118.0 PPG 115.6
46.6 RPG 42.6
26.4 APG 28.7
47.7 FG% 46.1
34.9 3P% 36.2

Key Matchup: Top Scorers

VS
Victor Wembanyama

V. Wembanyama

24.4 PPG
Brandin Podziemski

B. Podziemski

11.9 PPG

Detailed Analysis

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.11.26

The NBA spotlight shines on the Chase Center this Tuesday, February 11, 2026, as the surging San Antonio Spurs (37-16) take on the resilient Golden State Warriors (29-25). While San Antonio looks to solidify its status as a Western Conference powerhouse, the Warriors are fighting to protect their home court amidst a challenging season defined by roster depth tests.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The Spurs’ success revolves around the historic production of Victor Wembanyama, who leads the team in points (23.9), rebounds (11.1), and blocks (2.7). His ability to stretch the floor while anchoring the defense makes San Antonio a nightmare matchup. Furthermore, the playmaking of Stephon Castle (7.0 APG) has unlocked a new dimension in their transition game, though his recent injury status remains a critical factor for their offensive fluidity.

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

  • Stephon Castle (Day-to-day): Castle is dealing with a pelvic contusion suffered against the Lakers; his availability is uncertain.
  • Lindy Waters III (Out): Ruled out due to a knee injury.
  • David Jones Garcia (Out): Will miss the remainder of the season following ankle surgery.

Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends

The Warriors are currently navigating a “next man up” era. With several stars sidelined, Brandin Podziemski has stepped up with 11.9 PPG and 4.6 RPG. The emotional and tactical heartbeat remains Draymond Green, who leads the team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.2). To remain competitive, Golden State must rely on their signature ball movement and high-volume perimeter shooting to offset their lack of interior size.

Injury Report Golden State Warriors

  • Will Richard (Day-to-day): Questionable due to a bruised right knee.
  • De’Anthony Melton (Day-to-day): Questionable with a left gluteal contusion.
  • L.J. Cryer (Out): Sidelined with a hamstring injury.
  • Stephen Curry (Out): Ruled out with a knee injury.
  • Jimmy Butler III (Out): Out for the season following ACL surgery.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Team debut delayed until after the All-Star break (Achilles).
  • Seth Curry (Out): Currently recovering from a back injury.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Best Bet

Despite the significant absence of Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler, the Warriors historically perform with high intensity at home. The 6.5-point cushion is substantial for a Golden State team that thrives on disciplined motion offense. While Wembanyama will dominate the paint, the Warriors’ scrappy perimeter defense should keep this within reach. We expect a fast-paced encounter where both teams push the tempo, comfortably clearing the total points line.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors +6.5 (Spread)

Total Points (219.5): over

Last 5 Games: SA

Form:
WWWWW
VS @ Los Angeles
W 136-108
PTS Wembanyama 40
REB Wembanyama 12
AST Castle 7
VS vs Dallas
W 138-125
PTS Castle 40
REB Castle 12
AST Castle 12
VS @ Dallas
W 135-123
PTS Wembanyama 29
REB Wembanyama 11
AST Fox 7
VS vs Oklahoma City
W 116-106
PTS Johnson 25
REB Kornet 15
AST Fox 10
VS vs Orlando
W 112-103
PTS Wembanyama 25
REB Johnson 10
AST Fox 10

Last 5 Games: GS

Form:
WLWLL
VS vs Memphis
W 114-113
PTS Spencer 17
REB Horford 9
AST Spencer 7
VS @ Los Angeles
L 105-99
PTS Moody 25
REB Santos 8
AST Spencer 7
VS @ Phoenix
W 101-97
PTS Spencer 20
REB Payton II 8
AST Santos 7
VS vs Philadelphia
L 113-94
PTS Spencer 13
REB Green 7
AST Melton 6
VS vs Detroit
L 131-124
PTS Curry 23
REB Podziemski 8
AST Podziemski 8
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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