San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.11.26
San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
V. Wembanyama
B. Podziemski
Detailed Analysis
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.11.26
The NBA spotlight shines on the Chase Center this Tuesday, February 11, 2026, as the surging San Antonio Spurs (37-16) take on the resilient Golden State Warriors (29-25). While San Antonio looks to solidify its status as a Western Conference powerhouse, the Warriors are fighting to protect their home court amidst a challenging season defined by roster depth tests.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview
San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends
The Spurs’ success revolves around the historic production of Victor Wembanyama, who leads the team in points (23.9), rebounds (11.1), and blocks (2.7). His ability to stretch the floor while anchoring the defense makes San Antonio a nightmare matchup. Furthermore, the playmaking of Stephon Castle (7.0 APG) has unlocked a new dimension in their transition game, though his recent injury status remains a critical factor for their offensive fluidity.
Injury Report San Antonio Spurs
- Stephon Castle (Day-to-day): Castle is dealing with a pelvic contusion suffered against the Lakers; his availability is uncertain.
- Lindy Waters III (Out): Ruled out due to a knee injury.
- David Jones Garcia (Out): Will miss the remainder of the season following ankle surgery.
Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends
The Warriors are currently navigating a “next man up” era. With several stars sidelined, Brandin Podziemski has stepped up with 11.9 PPG and 4.6 RPG. The emotional and tactical heartbeat remains Draymond Green, who leads the team in rebounds (5.6) and assists (5.2). To remain competitive, Golden State must rely on their signature ball movement and high-volume perimeter shooting to offset their lack of interior size.
Injury Report Golden State Warriors
- Will Richard (Day-to-day): Questionable due to a bruised right knee.
- De’Anthony Melton (Day-to-day): Questionable with a left gluteal contusion.
- L.J. Cryer (Out): Sidelined with a hamstring injury.
- Stephen Curry (Out): Ruled out with a knee injury.
- Jimmy Butler III (Out): Out for the season following ACL surgery.
- Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Team debut delayed until after the All-Star break (Achilles).
- Seth Curry (Out): Currently recovering from a back injury.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Best Bet
Despite the significant absence of Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler, the Warriors historically perform with high intensity at home. The 6.5-point cushion is substantial for a Golden State team that thrives on disciplined motion offense. While Wembanyama will dominate the paint, the Warriors’ scrappy perimeter defense should keep this within reach. We expect a fast-paced encounter where both teams push the tempo, comfortably clearing the total points line.
Prediction: Golden State Warriors +6.5 (Spread)
Total Points (219.5): over
Last 5 Games: SA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | W 136-108 | Wembanyama 40 | Wembanyama 12 | Castle 7 |
| vs Dallas | W 138-125 | Castle 40 | Castle 12 | Castle 12 |
| @ Dallas | W 135-123 | Wembanyama 29 | Wembanyama 11 | Fox 7 |
| vs Oklahoma City | W 116-106 | Johnson 25 | Kornet 15 | Fox 10 |
| vs Orlando | W 112-103 | Wembanyama 25 | Johnson 10 | Fox 10 |
Last 5 Games: GS
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Memphis | W 114-113 | Spencer 17 | Horford 9 | Spencer 7 |
| @ Los Angeles | L 105-99 | Moody 25 | Santos 8 | Spencer 7 |
| @ Phoenix | W 101-97 | Spencer 20 | Payton II 8 | Santos 7 |
| vs Philadelphia | L 113-94 | Spencer 13 | Green 7 | Melton 6 |
| vs Detroit | L 131-124 | Curry 23 | Podziemski 8 | Podziemski 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
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