San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.23.26
San Antonio Spurs
Detroit Pistons
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
V. Wembanyama
C. Cunningham
Detailed Analysis
San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.23.26
This high-stakes interconference showdown at Little Caesars Arena features two of the NBA’s most dominant young cores. The Detroit Pistons (42-13), currently holding one of the best records in the league, host a surging San Antonio Spurs (40-16) squad. With both teams positioned as legitimate title contenders, this matchup serves as a critical barometer for postseason readiness.
San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons Matchup Preview
San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends
The Spurs have evolved into a defensive juggernaut anchored by Victor Wembanyama, who continues to rewrite the record books. San Antonio’s offense has found a rhythm thanks to the elite playmaking of Stephon Castle, who facilitates a high-motion scheme.
- Points: Victor Wembanyama (24.3)
- Rebounds: Victor Wembanyama (11.2)
- Assists: Stephon Castle (6.8)
- Rating: Victor Wembanyama (24.3 PPG, 11.2 RPG, 2.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, 2.7 BPG)
Injury Report San Antonio Spurs
- Mason Plumlee (Out): Plumlee (reconditioning) won’t play Monday in Detroit.
- Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Pistons.
- David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Detroit Pistons Key Stats & Trends
Detroit’s success stems from the elite pick-and-roll chemistry between Cade Cunningham and Jalen Duren. The Pistons lead the league in transition points, utilizing Cunningham’s vision to exploit defensive lapses.
- Points: Cade Cunningham (25.5)
- Rebounds: Jalen Duren (10.5)
- Assists: Cade Cunningham (9.8)
- Rating: Cade Cunningham (25.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 9.8 APG, 1.4 SPG, 0.9 BPG)
San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Best Bet
While Detroit holds the home-court advantage, the San Antonio Spurs +1.5 (Spread) offer immense value. Wembanyama’s interior gravity (2.7 BPG) is the perfect counter to Detroit’s paint-heavy attack. Offensively, the Spurs’ secondary scoring will likely overcome a thin Pistons bench. We also lean toward the over on the 228.5 total; both Cunningham and Wembanyama are playing at an MVP level, and with Castle’s 6.8 assists per game, expect a high-possession, efficient offensive clinic from both sides.
Last 5 Games: SA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sacramento | W 139-122 | Wembanyama 28 | Wembanyama 15 | Wembanyama 6 |
| vs Phoenix | W 121-94 | Castle 20 | Wembanyama 11 | Fox 8 |
| @ Golden State | W 126-113 | Fox 27 | Wembanyama 9 | Fox 8 |
| @ Los Angeles | W 136-108 | Wembanyama 40 | Wembanyama 12 | Castle 7 |
| vs Dallas | W 138-125 | Castle 40 | Castle 12 | Castle 12 |
Last 5 Games: DET
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | W 126-110 | Duren 26 | Duren 13 | Cunningham 13 |
| @ New York | W 126-111 | Cunningham 42 | Harris 10 | Cunningham 13 |
| @ Toronto | W 113-95 | Cunningham 28 | Harris 12 | Cunningham 9 |
| @ Charlotte | W 110-104 | Cunningham 33 | Cunningham 9 | Cunningham 7 |
| vs New York | W 118-80 | Jenkins 18 | Harris 6 | Cunningham 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
