San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.05.26

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.05.26

The Western Conference offers a compelling, albeit lopsided, regular-season matchup as the San Antonio Spurs (34-16) travel to face the struggling Dallas Mavericks (19-31) on February 5th, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM EST at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, a venue that has seen more lows than highs for the home team this season. This clash presents a stark contrast between a surging Spurs squad and a Mavericks team in significant turmoil.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Preview

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The San Antonio Spurs arrive in Dallas with a formidable 34-16 record, demonstrating significant growth and consistency. Their success is largely anchored by the transcendent talent of Victor Wembanyama, who dominates on both ends of the floor, averaging an incredible 24.1 points, 11.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 0.9 steals, and 2.7 blocks per game. His two-way impact is unparalleled, making him the focal point of their offensive and defensive schemes. Rookie point guard Stephon Castle has also impressed, orchestrating the offense with 7.0 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking prowess. Despite their strong record, the Spurs face a significant challenge in managing their depth due to a lengthy injury report, which could test their secondary scoring and defensive rotations.

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

• Kelly Olynyk (Out): Olynyk (foot) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.
• Dylan Harper (Out): Harper (ankle) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against Oklahoma City.
• David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
• Jeremy Sochan (Out): Sochan (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.
• Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters is out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder with a left knee hypertension.

Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are enduring a difficult season, reflected in their 19-31 record. Their roster has been severely impacted by injuries and a recent blockbuster trade, leaving them in a state of flux. Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been a bright spot, leading the team with 20.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, alongside 4.2 assists, 1.2 steals, and 0.8 blocks, showcasing his potential as a future star. Ryan Nembhard contributes 4.8 assists per game, attempting to steady the ship amidst the chaos. However, the Mavericks’ overall performance has been hindered by a lack of consistent scoring and defensive solidity, especially with key players sidelined or adjusting to new roles following recent transactions.

Injury Report Dallas Mavericks

• P.J. Washington (Out): Washington (concussion) has been ruled out for Thursday’s game against the Spurs.
• Brandon Williams (Day-to-day): Williams (lower leg) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game against the Spurs.
• Daniel Gafford (Day-to-day): Gafford is questionable for Thursday’s game versus the Spurs due to a sprained right ankle.
• Malaki Branham (Day-to-day): Branham was recently acquired by the Mavericks in a trade.
• Khris Middleton (Day-to-day): Middleton was recently acquired by the Mavericks in a trade.
• AJ Johnson (Day-to-day): Johnson was recently acquired by the Mavericks in a trade.
• Marvin Bagley III (Day-to-day): Bagley was recently acquired by the Mavericks in a trade.
• Kyrie Irving (Out): Mavericks head coach Jason Kidd said Jan. 22 that Irving (knee) “probably” won’t be ready to make his season debut until after the All-Star break.
• Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Best Bet

This matchup heavily favors the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Despite their own significant injury list, the Spurs possess a clear superstar in Victor Wembanyama who can single-handedly impact the game’s outcome on both ends. His ability to score, rebound, and protect the rim will be overwhelming for a depleted Mavericks frontcourt. Dallas, on the other hand, is in absolute disarray. Key offensive engine Kyrie Irving remains sidelined, and promising young center Dereck Lively II is out after foot surgery. Furthermore, the recent trade involving multiple players, including the acquisition of Khris Middleton, Malaki Branham, AJ Johnson, and Marvin Bagley III, means the Mavericks’ roster continuity and chemistry will be severely compromised. With P.J. Washington also out and Daniel Gafford questionable, Dallas lacks both star power and depth. The Spurs’ superior record, established system, and Wembanyama’s dominance should allow them to cover the spread comfortably. Given the absences of key offensive creators like Irving for Dallas and several Spurs role players, a lower-scoring affair is anticipated. Therefore, the pick is San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (Spread) and the total points to go under 223.5.