Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.21.26

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.21.26

The Sacramento Kings (12-45) head to the Moody Center in Austin to face the high-flying San Antonio Spurs (39-16) this Saturday. This matchup presents a stark contrast in momentum; the Spurs are firmly entrenched in the Western Conference elite, while the Kings are navigating a season defined by significant roster upheaval and a devastating injury list. With the game being played in Austin, expect a playoff-like atmosphere favoring the “home” Spurs.

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Preview

Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends

The Kings are currently in a difficult transitional phase. The loss of their primary offensive engines has forced DeMar DeRozan (18.6 PPG, 18.6 Rating) to carry an immense scoring burden. While Russell Westbrook (6.5 APG) continues to provide veteran playmaking, the team’s efficiency has plummeted. Young center Maxime Raynaud (6.8 RPG) has shown promise on the glass, but the Kings lack the defensive interior presence to stop elite big men.

• Points: DeMar DeRozan (18.6)
• Rebounds: Maxime Raynaud (6.8)
• Assists: Russell Westbrook (6.5)
• Rating: DeMar DeRozan (18.6 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.8 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.2 BPG)

Injury Report Sacramento Kings

• De’Andre Hunter (Out): Hunter is set to undergo season-ending eye surgery, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
• Dylan Cardwell (Out): Cardwell sprained his left ankle at Tuesday’s practice and will be re-evaluated in four weeks, James Ham of ESPN 1320 Sacramento reports.
• Domantas Sabonis (Out): Sabonis underwent season-ending knee surgery Wednesday to repair a torn left meniscus, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
• Zach LaVine (Out): LaVine will undergo season-ending surgery on his right hand after the All-Star break, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The Spurs are led by the historic production of Victor Wembanyama, who dominates both ends of the floor with 24.2 PPG and 2.7 BPG. The development of Stephon Castle (6.9 APG) as a reliable floor general has stabilized their offense, allowing San Antonio to exploit mismatches with ease. Their defensive rating remains top-tier, making them a nightmare for shorthanded rosters.

• Points: Victor Wembanyama (24.2)
• Rebounds: Victor Wembanyama (11.1)
• Assists: Stephon Castle (6.9)
• Rating: Victor Wembanyama (24.2 PPG, 11.1 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1.0 SPG, 2.7 BPG)

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

• Mason Plumlee (Out): Plumlee (reconditioning) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Kings.
• Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) is questionable for Saturday’s game versus Sacramento.
• David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News reports.

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Best Bet

The talent gap in this matchup is astronomical due to Sacramento’s injury report. Without Sabonis and LaVine, the Kings lack the personnel to challenge Victor Wembanyama in the paint or keep up with the Spurs’ scoring pace. We predict a decisive victory for the San Antonio Spurs. Given Sacramento’s offensive struggles and the Spurs’ elite rim protection, the best value lies in the Under for total points, as the Kings will struggle to break the 100-point threshold.