Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.23.26
Sacramento Kings
Memphis Grizzlies
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
D. DeRozan
J. Wells
Detailed Analysis
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.23.26
The Sacramento Kings (12-46) travel to the FedExForum on February 23, 2026, to face the Memphis Grizzlies (21-34) in a matchup defined by resilience. With both rosters decimated by long-term injuries, this 8:00 PM tip-off will test the depth of both benches as they navigate a challenging regular-season stretch.
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Matchup Preview
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Kings are reeling from the loss of their primary playmakers. DeMar DeRozan remains the offensive focal point, averaging 18.6 PPG and a team-high rating. In the absence of their interior star, Maxime Raynaud has stepped up on the glass with 6.9 RPG, while veteran Russell Westbrook continues to facilitate the offense with 6.4 APG. Sacramento’s success hinges on DeRozan’s mid-range efficiency and Westbrook’s ability to push the pace.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- De’Andre Hunter (Out): Hunter is set to undergo season-ending eye surgery, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
- Dylan Cardwell (Out): Cardwell sprained his left ankle at Tuesday’s practice and will be re-evaluated in four weeks, James Ham of ESPN 1320 Sacramento reports.
- Domantas Sabonis (Out): Sabonis underwent season-ending knee surgery Wednesday to repair a torn left meniscus, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Zach LaVine (Out): LaVine will undergo season-ending surgery on his right hand after the All-Star break, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends
Memphis has pivoted to a youth-heavy rotation. Jaylen Wells leads the scoring effort at 12.4 PPG, but Ty Jerome has been the statistical standout, producing an impressive 19.3 PPG and 5.7 APG. With Cam Spencer also contributing 5.7 APG, the Grizzlies possess multiple ball-handlers who can exploit Sacramento’s weakened perimeter defense. GG Jackson will be vital in securing possessions, currently leading the active roster with 3.8 RPG.
Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies
- Santi Aldama (Out): Aldama (knee) is out for Monday’s game against the Kings.
- Kyle Anderson (Day-to-day): Anderson (knee) is doubtful to play Monday against the Kings.
- Cedric Coward (Out): Coward (knee) will remain on the inactive list for Monday’s matchup with the Kings.
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Out): Caldwell-Pope underwent surgery on his right pinky finger and will miss the remainder of the season.
- Ja Morant (Out): Morant is experiencing discomfort from a UCL sprain in his left elbow and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
- Zach Edey (Out): Edey is recovering from a stress reaction in his left ankle and will be re-evaluated in six weeks.
- Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke is progressing from a Grade 2 right calf strain and is expected to return in four to six weeks.
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Best Bet
Despite the extensive injury list for both sides, the Grizzlies hold the edge at home. The loss of Sabonis and LaVine strips Sacramento of its identity, whereas Memphis has found a rhythm with Ty Jerome’s high-usage playmaking. We expect a high-scoring affair as both teams lack elite rim protection. Our definitive pick is the Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 (Spread). Additionally, with both defenses compromised, we recommend the over on the 233.5 total points line.
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ San Antonio | L 139-122 | Murray 20 | Raynaud 12 | Monk 6 |
| vs Orlando | L 131-94 | Raynaud 17 | Raynaud 14 | DeRozan 6 |
| @ Utah | L 121-93 | DeRozan 20 | Cardwell 10 | Clifford 6 |
| @ New Orleans | L 120-94 | Raynaud 21 | Raynaud 19 | Clifford 6 |
| vs Cleveland | L 132-126 | Clifford 30 | Cardwell 11 | Westbrook 9 |
Last 5 Games: MEM
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Miami | L 136-120 | Jackson 28 | Jackson 9 | Pippen Jr. 6 |
| vs Utah | W 123-114 | Prosper 23 | Lovering 11 | Spencer 10 |
| @ Denver | L 122-116 | Jackson 21 | Jackson 5 | Spencer 9 |
| @ Golden State | L 114-113 | Jerome 19 | Hendricks 10 | Jerome 7 |
| @ Portland | L 122-115 | Prosper 25 | Jackson 8 | Clayton Jr. 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.