Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction | 01.25.26
Sacramento Kings
Detroit Pistons
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 25-01-2026
Get ready for a compelling regular-season matchup as the struggling Sacramento Kings (12-34) travel to face the high-flying Detroit Pistons (32-11) on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM EST at Little Caesars Arena. This clash presents a stark contrast in team fortunes, with the Pistons looking to extend their impressive run against a Kings squad battling significant injury woes.
Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Matchup Preview
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Sacramento Kings arrive in Detroit in disarray, reflected in their 12-34 record. Offensively, they rely heavily on the scoring prowess of Zach LaVine, who averages 19.5 points per game. However, his potential absence looms large. Veteran guard Russell Westbrook remains a key facilitator, leading the team with 6.8 assists per game, attempting to ignite an often-stagnant offense. On the glass, rookie Maxime Raynaud has shown promise, pulling down 6.4 rebounds per game. The true engine of the team, however, is Domantas Sabonis, an all-around force averaging 16.0 PPG, 11.7 RPG, 3.8 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.2 BPG. Despite Sabonis’s consistent production, the team struggles with defensive consistency and overall depth.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- Zach LaVine (Day-to-day): LaVine is now questionable for Sunday’s game against the Pistons due to low back soreness.
- Keegan Murray (Out): Murray (ankle), who won’t play in Monday’s game against Dallas, is expected to miss at least three weeks, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.
Detroit Pistons Key Stats & Trends
The Detroit Pistons have been one of the league’s surprises, boasting an impressive 32-11 record. Their success is largely driven by the exceptional play of Cade Cunningham, who not only leads the team in scoring with 25.3 points per game but also orchestrates the offense with an outstanding 9.7 assists per game. Cunningham’s all-around impact is undeniable, reflected in his comprehensive stat line of 25.3 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 9.7 APG, 1.5 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. Complementing Cunningham’s brilliance, Jalen Duren dominates the paint, averaging 10.8 rebounds per game and providing a strong defensive anchor. The Pistons play with high energy and efficiency, particularly on their home court.
Injury Report Detroit Pistons
- Cade Cunningham (Day-to-day): Cunningham is probable for Sunday’s game against the Kings due to right wrist injury management.
- Caris LeVert (Day-to-day): LeVert (illness) is doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Kings.
Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons Prediction & Best Bet
Given the significant disparity in team records, current form, and critical injury situations, the Detroit Pistons are poised for a dominant performance. The Kings’ offensive struggles, exacerbated by the potential absence of Zach LaVine and the confirmed absence of Keegan Murray, will make it incredibly difficult to keep pace with Detroit’s high-octane offense. Cade Cunningham, even with minor wrist management, is expected to be highly effective, leading the Pistons’ charge. Their strong home record and defensive intensity will overwhelm Sacramento.
Our definitive prediction is Detroit Pistons -13.5 (Spread). The Pistons have consistently covered large spreads against weaker opponents, and the Kings’ depleted roster makes them vulnerable. For the total points line (225.5), we project an over. While Sacramento’s offense is inconsistent, Detroit’s offensive firepower, spearheaded by Cunningham, is capable of pushing the score well past the projected total, especially against a Kings defense that has struggled all season.
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | L 123-118 | Sabonis 24 | Sabonis 16 | Monk 7 |
| vs Toronto | L 122-109 | Westbrook 23 | Cardwell 13 | LaVine 5 |
| vs Miami | L 130-117 | DeRozan 23 | Cardwell 12 | Westbrook 7 |
| vs Portland | L 117-110 | Westbrook 23 | Cardwell 10 | Westbrook 7 |
| vs Washington | W 128-115 | Westbrook 26 | Cardwell 9 | Westbrook 6 |
Last 5 Games: DET
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | L 111-104 | Duren 18 | Thompson 8 | Cunningham 8 |
| @ New Orleans | W 112-104 | Duren 20 | Duren 15 | Jenkins 4 |
| vs Boston | W 104-103 | Harris 25 | Duren 9 | Cunningham 14 |
| vs Indiana | W 121-78 | Cunningham 16 | Duren 8 | Cunningham 5 |
| vs Phoenix | W 108-105 | Robinson 19 | Duren 18 | Cunningham 11 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.