Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 23-01-2026

In a pivotal regular-season matchup, the struggling Sacramento Kings (12-33) are set to face the Cleveland Cavaliers (25-20) on January 23, 2026, at 7:30 PM EST. This contest, hosted at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, presents a clash of teams with contrasting fortunes, though both are battling significant injury concerns.

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Matchup Preview

Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends

The Sacramento Kings arrive in Cleveland with one of the league’s worst records, indicative of their season-long struggles. Despite the individual brilliance of players like Zach LaVine, who leads the team with 19.8 points per game, and veteran point guard Russell Westbrook, dishing out 6.9 assists per game, the Kings have failed to translate talent into consistent wins. Center Domantas Sabonis remains a statistical force, averaging a robust 15.4 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.2 BPG, showcasing his all-around impact. Rookie Maxime Raynaud has been a pleasant surprise on the boards, grabbing 6.6 rebounds per game. However, their defensive lapses and inconsistent offensive execution have plagued them.

Injury Report Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray (Out): Murray (ankle), who won’t play in Monday’s game against Dallas, is expected to miss at least three weeks, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.

Cleveland Cavaliers Key Stats & Trends

The Cleveland Cavaliers, sitting comfortably above .500, have been led by the dynamic play of Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell is the undisputed engine of their offense, averaging an impressive 28.9 points per game and also leading the team in assists with 5.7 per game. His overall rating of 28.9 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 5.7 APG, 1.5 SPG, and 0.2 BPG highlights his MVP-caliber production. Young big man Evan Mobley provides crucial interior defense and rebounding, pulling down 8.7 boards per game. Despite their solid record, the Cavaliers have been hit hard by injuries, testing their depth and resilience.

Injury Report Cleveland Cavaliers

Sam Merrill (Out): Merrill (hand) has been ruled out for Friday’s game against Sacramento.
Darius Garland (Out): Garland will be re-evaluated in the next 7-to-10 days after being diagnosed with a Grade 1 right big toe sprain.
Max Strus (Out): Strus (foot) is expected to miss at least four more weeks, Marc J. Spears of ESPN.com reports.

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Best Bet

Given the stark contrast in team records and the home-court advantage for Cleveland, the Cavaliers are the clear favorites. While the Cavaliers are dealing with significant injuries to key offensive pieces like Darius Garland and Max Strus, the Kings’ overall struggles and the absence of Keegan Murray severely limit their upset potential. Donovan Mitchell’s ability to carry the scoring load, coupled with Evan Mobley’s defensive presence, should be enough to overcome a Kings team that lacks consistent firepower beyond a few individual efforts. The Kings’ 12-33 record speaks volumes, and their road performance has been particularly poor.

For the prediction, we lean heavily towards the home team. Expect the Cavaliers to capitalize on the Kings’ defensive frailties and secure a comfortable victory. Our pick for this contest is Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5 (Spread).

Regarding the total points line set at 233.5, the injury situations for both teams point towards a lower-scoring affair. Cleveland’s offense will miss the shooting and playmaking of Garland and Strus, potentially slowing their scoring pace. The Kings, despite LaVine’s scoring, are not an efficient offensive unit. Therefore, we predict the total points will fall under 233.5.

Last 5 Games: SAC

Form:

LLLWW

VS vs Toronto

L 122-109

PTS Westbrook 23

REB Cardwell 13

AST LaVine 5

VS vs Miami

L 130-117

PTS DeRozan 23

REB Cardwell 12

AST Westbrook 7

VS vs Portland

L 117-110

PTS Westbrook 23

REB Cardwell 10

AST Westbrook 7

VS vs Washington

W 128-115

PTS Westbrook 26

REB Cardwell 9

AST Westbrook 6

VS vs New York

W 112-101

PTS DeRozan 27

REB Achiuwa 14

AST Westbrook 11

Opponent	Result	Points	Rebounds	Assists
vs Toronto	L 122-109	Westbrook 23	Cardwell 13	LaVine 5
vs Miami	L 130-117	DeRozan 23	Cardwell 12	Westbrook 7
vs Portland	L 117-110	Westbrook 23	Cardwell 10	Westbrook 7
vs Washington	W 128-115	Westbrook 26	Cardwell 9	Westbrook 6
vs New York	W 112-101	DeRozan 27	Achiuwa 14	Westbrook 11

Last 5 Games: CLE

Form:

WLWWL

VS @ Charlotte

W 94-87

PTS Mitchell 24

REB Mobley 14

AST Mitchell 6

VS vs Oklahoma City

L 136-104

PTS Mitchell 19

REB Tyson 10

AST Mobley 5

VS @ Philadelphia

W 117-115

PTS Tyson 39

REB Mitchell 9

AST Mitchell 12

VS @ Philadelphia

W 133-107

PTS Mitchell 35

REB Mobley 13

AST Mitchell 9

VS vs Utah

L 123-112

PTS Garland 23

REB Mobley 9

AST Garland 8

Opponent	Result	Points	Rebounds	Assists
@ Charlotte	W 94-87	Mitchell 24	Mobley 14	Mitchell 6
vs Oklahoma City	L 136-104	Mitchell 19	Tyson 10	Mobley 5
@ Philadelphia	W 117-115	Tyson 39	Mitchell 9	Mitchell 12
@ Philadelphia	W 133-107	Mitchell 35	Mobley 13	Mitchell 9
vs Utah	L 123-112	Garland 23	Mobley 9	Garland 8

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction | 01.23.26

Sacramento Kings

Cleveland Cavaliers

Game Spread

Total Points

Tale of the Tape

Detailed Analysis