Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Prediction | 01.30.26
Sacramento Kings
Boston Celtics
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 30-01-2026
The regular season continues to deliver compelling matchups, and this clash between the struggling Sacramento Kings (12-37) and the formidable Boston Celtics (29-18) at TD Garden on January 30, 2026, at 7:30 PM promises to be an intriguing affair. With both teams battling injuries and looking to solidify their positions, this game presents a stark contrast in current trajectories.
Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Matchup Preview
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Sacramento Kings arrive in Boston in dire straits, reflected in their 12-37 record. Offensively, they lean heavily on Zach LaVine, who averages a team-high 19.5 points. Inside, Maxime Raynaud has been a presence on the glass, pulling down 6.3 rebounds per game, while Dennis Schroder orchestrates the offense with 5.4 assists. The heart of their team remains Domantas Sabonis, whose all-around contributions of 15.5 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 4.2 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.2 BPG showcase his immense value, but he alone cannot overcome the team’s significant depth issues. Their recent struggles point to a lack of consistent two-way play, exacerbated by key absences.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- Malik Monk (Out): Monk is out for Thursday’s game against the 76ers due to right ankle soreness.
- Russell Westbrook (Out): Westbrook (foot) will not play Thursday against the 76ers.
- Keegan Murray (Out): Murray (ankle), who won’t play in Monday’s game against Dallas, is expected to miss at least three weeks, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.
Boston Celtics Key Stats & Trends
The Boston Celtics, despite navigating a challenging season, maintain a strong 29-18 record, showcasing their resilience and talent. Their offense is powered by Jaylen Brown, who leads the team with an impressive 29.4 points per game. On the boards, Neemias Queta has been effective, grabbing 8.0 rebounds, while Derrick White facilitates the offense with 5.3 assists. Brown’s overall impact is undeniable, averaging 29.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 4.9 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 0.4 BPG, making him a crucial two-way force for Boston. The Celtics excel with their balanced attack and strong defensive identity, particularly at home.
Injury Report Boston Celtics
- Neemias Queta (Day-to-day): Queta is probable for Friday’s game against the Kings due to an illness, per Justin Turpin of WEEI.com.
- Jaylen Brown (Day-to-day): Brown is considered doubtful for Friday’s game against the Kings due to a right knee contusion and left hamstring tightness, Justin Turpin of WEEI.com reports.
- Jayson Tatum (Out): The Celtics have not ruled Tatum (Achilles) out for the 2025-26 season, ESPN’s Shams Charania reported on the Pat McAfee Show on Thursday.
Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Best Bet
Given the extensive injury report for the Sacramento Kings, missing key contributors like Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, and Keegan Murray, their already challenging task against the Celtics becomes significantly tougher. While Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine will undoubtedly carry the load, the lack of depth will be exposed. The Boston Celtics, even with Jayson Tatum out for the season and Jaylen Brown doubtful, possess superior overall talent and formidable home-court advantage. Their robust defense and efficient scoring from players like Derrick White should prove too much for the depleted Kings. We anticipate the Celtics to control the tempo and secure a dominant victory.
Our definitive prediction is Boston Celtics -11.5 (Spread). The Kings’ defensive struggles, compounded by their injuries, will allow the Celtics to score freely. For the total points line (221.5), we project an exciting, higher-scoring affair. The Kings, despite their woes, will attempt to push the pace, and the Celtics’ offensive firepower, even if Brown is limited, will exploit Sacramento’s defensive vulnerabilities. We are taking the over on the total.
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Philadelphia | L 113-111 | Schroder 27 | Achiuwa 13 | DeRozan 8 |
| @ New York | L 103-87 | DeRozan 34 | Sabonis 12 | Sabonis 7 |
| @ Detroit | L 139-116 | Monk 19 | Cardwell 9 | Sabonis 8 |
| @ Cleveland | L 123-118 | Sabonis 24 | Sabonis 16 | Monk 7 |
| vs Toronto | L 122-109 | Westbrook 23 | Cardwell 13 | LaVine 5 |
Last 5 Games: BOS
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Atlanta | L 117-106 | Brown 21 | Brown 7 | Garza 6 |
| vs Portland | W 102-94 | Pritchard 23 | Brown 8 | Queta 6 |
| @ Chicago | L 114-111 | Brown 33 | Brown 8 | White 7 |
| @ Brooklyn | W 130-126 2OT | Pritchard 32 | Brown 10 | Brown 12 |
| vs Indiana | W 119-104 | Brown 30 | Brown 10 | Pritchard 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.