TOP
DEN @ NY
MIN @ TOR
BOS @ HOU
NO @ MIL
TOP
OKC @ SA
MEM @ SAC
TOP
CLE @ LAC
BOS @ FLA
CHI @ CBJ
MTL @ WPG
TOP
MIN @ NSH
TOP
SJ @ COL
DET @ UTA
STL @ DAL
EDM @ CGY
VAN @ VGK
SEA @ LA

Predictions Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs | NBA 17.01.26

Last Updated: Jan 19, 2026 12:30 AM
Saturday, 17 Jan 2026 SA -5.5
Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

W W L W W
27-16
VS 8:00 PM
San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs

W L L W W
29-13

Game Spread

SA -5.5

Total Points

Under 228.5

Tale of the Tape

MIN Stat Comparison SA
123.0 PPG 126.0
41.0 RPG 43.0
22.0 APG 35.0
46.7 FG% 50.0
41.2 3P% 39.5

Detailed Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Game Analysis | 18-01-2026 | NBA

This regular-season Western Conference clash pits the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) against the San Antonio Spurs (28-13) on January 18, 2026, at 1:00 AM EST, hosted at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Both teams are enjoying strong seasons, making this an intriguing matchup with significant playoff implications.

Minnesota Timberwolves Team Performance

The Minnesota Timberwolves have established themselves as a formidable defensive unit this season, anchored by the dominant interior presence of Rudy Gobert. Their overall record reflects a well-coached team capable of grinding out wins. Offensively, they rely heavily on the versatile scoring and playmaking of Julius Randle, who has been instrumental in their success. However, their scoring depth is now severely tested due to key injuries. The absence of primary offensive threats could lead to stagnant stretches, placing added pressure on Randle to carry the load and requiring other role players to step up significantly.

Minnesota Timberwolves Key Players

  • Points: Julius Randle (22.2)
  • Rebounds: Rudy Gobert (11.4)
  • Assists: Julius Randle (5.7)
  • Rating: Julius Randle (22.2 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 5.7 APG, 1.0 SPG, 0.1 BPG)

Injury Report Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Anthony Edwards (Out): Edwards (foot) is out for Saturday’s game against the Spurs, a major blow to Minnesota’s perimeter scoring and defense.
  • Terrence Shannon Jr. (Out): Shannon has been making progress in his recovery from a left foot abductor hallucis strain, but he remains without an official timetable to return, further limiting wing depth.

San Antonio Spurs Team Performance

The San Antonio Spurs have exceeded expectations, propelled by the generational talent of Victor Wembanyama. Their record indicates a team finding its stride, with Wembanyama influencing both ends of the court at an elite level. The Spurs have shown flashes of strong team play, particularly in ball movement, though their consistency can waver. The potential absence of Stephon Castle would significantly impact their playmaking, and Devin Vassell’s injury removes a crucial secondary scoring option, forcing other players like De’Aaron Fox and Keldon Johnson to shoulder more of the offensive burden.

San Antonio Spurs Key Players

  • Points: Victor Wembanyama (23.9)
  • Rebounds: Victor Wembanyama (10.9)
  • Assists: Stephon Castle (6.9)
  • Rating: Victor Wembanyama (23.9 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 3.0 APG, 0.9 SPG, 2.7 BPG)

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

  • Stephon Castle (Day-to-day): Castle (illness) is questionable for Saturday’s game against Minnesota, potentially impacting the Spurs’ primary ball-handling and facilitation.
  • Devin Vassell (Out): Vassell (adductor) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Timberwolves, removing a key perimeter scorer and creator.

Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Given the critical injuries to both teams’ offensive arsenals, particularly Anthony Edwards for Minnesota and Devin Vassell for San Antonio, this game is likely to be a more defensive struggle. The Spurs, playing at home and with Victor Wembanyama’s continued dominance, hold a slight edge despite Castle’s questionable status. Wembanyama’s defensive impact will be crucial against Randle.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs to win, with the total points going under 229.5.

Last 5 Games: MIN

Form:
WWLWW
VS @ Milwaukee
W 139-106
PTS Randle 29
REB Randle 8
AST DiVincenzo 7
VS vs San Antonio
W 104-103
PTS Edwards 23
REB Gobert 14
AST DiVincenzo 7
VS @ Cleveland
L 146-134
PTS Edwards 25
REB Gobert 12
AST Hyland 7
VS vs Cleveland
W 131-122
PTS Randle 28
REB Gobert 13
AST Edwards 9
VS vs Miami
W 122-94
PTS Edwards 26
REB Gobert 16
AST Randle 5

Last 5 Games: SA

Form:
WLLWW
VS vs Milwaukee
W 119-101
PTS Wembanyama 22
REB Champagnie 11
AST Castle 10
VS @ Oklahoma City
L 119-98
PTS Castle 20
REB Kornet 8
AST Castle 8
VS @ Minnesota
L 104-103
PTS Wembanyama 29
REB Kornet 12
AST Castle 5
VS @ Boston
W 100-95
PTS Fox 21
REB Champagnie 13
AST Fox 6
VS vs Los Angeles
W 107-91
PTS Johnson 27
REB Wembanyama 14
AST Barnes 6
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Written by Matt Dorsey

5 YEARS EXPERIENCE

Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.

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