Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.19.26
Phoenix Suns
San Antonio Spurs
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
D. Booker
V. Wembanyama
Detailed Analysis
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.19.26
This mid-February Western Conference showdown features the Phoenix Suns (32-23) traveling to the Moody Center in Austin to face the surging San Antonio Spurs (38-16). With the Spurs fighting for the top seed and the Suns navigating a depleted roster, this matchup serves as a critical barometer for both franchises heading into the final stretch of the season.
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Preview
Phoenix Suns Key Stats & Trends
The Phoenix Suns arrive in Austin heavily reliant on the elite shot-making of Devin Booker, who leads the team with 25.2 PPG and 6.3 APG. While Mark Williams has provided a much-needed interior presence with 8.1 rebounds per game, the Suns’ overall depth is currently compromised. Phoenix has struggled to maintain defensive consistency when their primary rotations are disrupted, making them vulnerable against high-paced transition offenses.
Injury Report Phoenix Suns
- Jalen Green (Out): Green (hamstring) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.
- Cole Anthony (Out): Anthony (not with team) is out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.
- Isaiah Livers (Out): Livers (shoulder) will be re-evaluated after the All-Star break.
- Grayson Allen (Out): Allen (knee) will be reevaluated after the All-Star break.
San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends
The San Antonio Spurs continue to evolve into a defensive juggernaut, anchored by Victor Wembanyama. The “Alien” is averaging a staggering 24.4 PPG, 11.1 RPG, and 2.7 BPG, effectively erasing mistakes at the rim. Complementing him is Stephon Castle, whose 7.0 assists per game reflect a sophisticated offensive system that prioritizes ball movement and high-percentage looks.
Injury Report San Antonio Spurs
- Mason Plumlee (Out): Plumlee (groin) signed a 10-day contract with the Spurs on Tuesday.
- Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) is out for Wednesday’s game against the Warriors.
- David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery and will miss the remainder of the season.
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Best Bet
Given the significant absences of Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, the Suns lack the secondary scoring needed to keep pace with San Antonio’s balanced attack. Wembanyama’s presence will likely neutralize Mark Williams inside, forcing Booker into contested perimeter shots. We expect the Spurs’ depth and defensive rating to overwhelm a tired Suns rotation.
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 (Spread). We also anticipate a high-scoring affair despite the defensive presence of Wembanyama, as the Suns will be forced to play at a faster tempo to compensate for their lack of half-court depth. Take the over on the 226.5 total points line.
Last 5 Games: PHX
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oklahoma City | L 136-109 | Brooks 23 | Maluach 6 | Bouyea 6 |
| vs Dallas | W 120-111 | Brooks 23 | Ighodaro 10 | Gillespie 8 |
| vs Philadelphia | L 109-103 | Brooks 28 | O'Neale 11 | Booker 9 |
| vs Golden State | L 101-97 | Brooks 24 | Williams 10 | O'Neale 5 |
| @ Portland | W 130-125 | Gillespie 30 | Williams 11 | Gillespie 10 |
Last 5 Games: SA
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Golden State | W 126-113 | Fox 27 | Wembanyama 9 | Fox 8 |
| @ Los Angeles | W 136-108 | Wembanyama 40 | Wembanyama 12 | Castle 7 |
| vs Dallas | W 138-125 | Castle 40 | Castle 12 | Castle 12 |
| @ Dallas | W 135-123 | Wembanyama 29 | Wembanyama 11 | Fox 7 |
| vs Oklahoma City | W 116-106 | Johnson 25 | Kornet 15 | Fox 10 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
