Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction | 01.23.26

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 23-01-2026

The NBA regular season delivers an intriguing cross-conference matchup as the Phoenix Suns (27-17) travel to State Farm Arena in Atlanta to face the Atlanta Hawks (21-25) on January 23, 2026, at 7:30 PM EST. This contest pits a surging Suns squad against a Hawks team grappling with significant roster challenges, setting the stage for a compelling analysis.

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks Matchup Preview

Phoenix Suns Key Stats & Trends

The Phoenix Suns arrive in Atlanta with a robust 27-17 record, largely powered by the consistent brilliance of Devin Booker. Booker is the undisputed offensive engine, averaging an impressive 25.3 points, 6.3 assists, and holding a significant 25.3 player rating, showcasing his all-around impact with 4.0 RPG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.3 BPG. Complementing Booker’s scoring and playmaking is the interior presence of Mark Williams, who anchors the glass with 8.3 rebounds per game. The Suns typically operate with efficient offense, relying on Booker’s shot creation and a balanced attack, but can sometimes be vulnerable if their star isn’t at his peak.

Atlanta Hawks Key Stats & Trends

The Atlanta Hawks, despite their sub-.500 record (21-25), have seen a breakout season from Jalen Johnson. Johnson has emerged as a legitimate star, dominating across categories with 23.2 points, a remarkable 10.3 rebounds, and 8.0 assists per game, coupled with 1.2 SPG and 0.5 BPG. His near triple-double averages highlight his immense value. However, the Hawks’ aspirations are currently hindered by a significant injury crisis, which will heavily influence this matchup.

Injury Report Atlanta Hawks

• Zaccharie Risacher (Out): The Hawks announced Monday that Risacher (knee) will be re-evaluated in one week, Kevin Chouinard of the Hawks’ official site reports.
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out): The Hawks announced Monday that Porzingis (Achilles) will be re-evaluated in one week, Kevin Chouinard of the Hawks’ official site reports.
• N’Faly Dante (Out): Dante will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL in his right knee, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Best Bet

Given the severe injury woes plaguing the Atlanta Hawks, particularly the absence of key offensive and defensive anchors like Kristaps Porzingis and promising rookie Zaccharie Risacher, their offensive firepower will be significantly curtailed. While Jalen Johnson is playing at an All-Star level, he faces an uphill battle to carry the entire load. The Suns, led by Devin Booker, are a potent offensive unit. However, the Hawks, playing at home and embracing an underdog mentality, can still defend with intensity. The absence of high-usage offensive players for Atlanta often leads to a slower pace and increased defensive focus. This, combined with the Suns’ tendency to manage energy against depleted opponents, points towards a lower-scoring affair. Therefore, we project the final score to stay under 233.5 total points. Despite the injuries, the Hawks at home, with Jalen Johnson’s heroics, are capable of keeping this game tighter than expected against the spread. Our pick is Atlanta Hawks +3.5 (Spread).