Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction | 01.26.26
Orlando Magic
Cleveland Cavaliers
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 26-01-2026
The regular season heats up as the Orlando Magic (23-21) travel to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland to face the Cleveland Cavaliers (27-20) on January 26, 2026, at 7:00 PM EST. This Eastern Conference clash pits two teams with playoff aspirations, each navigating their respective seasons with a mix of emerging talent and veteran leadership, albeit with significant injury concerns.
Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Matchup Preview
Orlando Magic Key Stats & Trends
The Orlando Magic have shown flashes of brilliance this season, largely powered by their burgeoning star, Paolo Banchero. Banchero is the undisputed engine, averaging an impressive 21.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG, and 4.9 APG, complemented by 0.7 SPG and 0.6 BPG. His all-around game is crucial to Orlando’s offense and playmaking. The Magic typically lean on their defensive identity and athleticism, often dictating tempo with strong interior defense and transition opportunities. However, their half-court offense can sometimes become stagnant without consistent secondary creators.
Injury Report Orlando Magic
- Franz Wagner (Out): Wagner (ankle) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Cavaliers. This is a significant blow, as Wagner is a key secondary scorer and playmaker.
- Colin Castleton (Out): The Magic plan to sign Castleton to a two-way deal, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports, making him unavailable for this contest.
Cleveland Cavaliers Key Stats & Trends
The Cleveland Cavaliers, despite a strong record, are facing an uphill battle with a depleted roster. Donovan Mitchell remains their offensive spearhead, boasting 29.1 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 5.8 APG, and 1.5 SPG. His explosive scoring is vital, especially with other key contributors sidelined. Evan Mobley anchors the defense and cleans the glass, averaging 8.8 RPG. The Cavaliers’ strength lies in their defensive potential and Mitchell’s ability to generate offense in isolation. Their current challenge is maintaining offensive rhythm and depth.
Injury Report Cleveland Cavaliers
- De’Andre Hunter (Day-to-day): Hunter (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Magic.
- Sam Merrill (Out): Merrill (hand) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Magic.
- Luke Travers (Day-to-day): Travers (hamstring) posted four points (2-2 FG), three rebounds and one steal in six minutes during Friday’s 136-125 loss to the Bulls.
- Chris Livingston (Day-to-day): Livingston agreed to a two-way contract with the Cavaliers on Friday, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
- Darius Garland (Out): Garland will be re-evaluated in the next 7-to-10 days after being diagnosed with a Grade 1 right big toe sprain. This is a massive loss for Cleveland’s playmaking and scoring.
- Max Strus (Out): Strus (foot) is expected to miss at least four more weeks, Marc J. Spears of ESPN.com reports, further impacting their perimeter shooting.
Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup is heavily influenced by the injury reports. While the Magic are without Franz Wagner, a crucial offensive piece, the Cavaliers are far more hobbled, missing their starting backcourt in Darius Garland and Max Strus, with other key rotational players questionable. Donovan Mitchell will undoubtedly carry a monumental scoring load, but the absence of Garland’s playmaking and Strus’s shooting will severely limit Cleveland’s offensive versatility and depth. The Magic, led by Paolo Banchero, possess the defensive tenacity and athleticism to challenge the Cavaliers, especially with their reduced offensive options. Given the Cavaliers’ extensive injuries, the Magic are well-positioned to keep this game close.
Our prediction: Orlando Magic +5.5 (Spread).
Considering the significant offensive firepower missing from both sides—Wagner for Orlando, and critically, Garland and Strus for Cleveland—scoring will likely be at a premium. Both teams will rely more on defensive efforts and isolated plays. Therefore, we anticipate a lower-scoring affair.
Our Over/Under pick: under 227.5.
Last 5 Games: ORL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Cleveland | L 119-105 | Banchero 27 | Wagner 6 | Suggs 6 |
| vs Charlotte | L 124-97 | Banchero 23 | Banchero 7 | Banchero 5 |
| vs Memphis * | L 126-109 | Black 19 | Banchero 8 | Banchero 9 |
| vs Memphis * | W 118-111 | Banchero 26 | Banchero 13 | Black 7 |
| vs New Orleans | W 128-118 | Bane 27 | Bitadze 13 | Banchero 8 |
Last 5 Games: CLE
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Orlando | W 119-105 | Mitchell 36 | Ball 8 | Mitchell 9 |
| vs Sacramento | W 123-118 | Mitchell 33 | Mobley 13 | Mitchell 8 |
| @ Charlotte | W 94-87 | Mitchell 24 | Mobley 14 | Mitchell 6 |
| vs Oklahoma City | L 136-104 | Mitchell 19 | Tyson 10 | Mobley 5 |
| @ Philadelphia | W 117-115 | Tyson 39 | Mitchell 9 | Mitchell 12 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.