Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.24.26

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.24.26

The NBA regular season brings a high-stakes cross-conference clash this Tuesday as the Western Conference powerhouse Oklahoma City Thunder (44-14) travel to Scotiabank Arena to face the Toronto Raptors (34-23). While OKC boasts a superior record, a devastating wave of injuries has shifted the landscape of this matchup, scheduled for 7:30 PM in Toronto.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder Key Stats & Trends

The Thunder have been the gold standard for efficiency this season, but they enter this contest severely shorthanded. The offensive burden now falls squarely on Chet Holmgren, who leads the team in scoring (17.4 PPG) and rebounding (8.8 RPG). With their primary creators sidelined, Jaylin Williams (2.5 APG) will need to facilitate more from the post. Holmgren’s defensive presence remains elite, averaging 1.9 blocks per game, but his status is currently clouded by back spasms.

Injury Report Oklahoma City Thunder

• Alex Caruso (Day-to-day): Caruso is questionable for Tuesday’s game against Toronto due to a left ankle sprain.
• Chet Holmgren (Day-to-day): Holmgren is questionable for Tuesday’s game against Toronto with back spasms.
• Ajay Mitchell (Out): Mitchell is out for at least one more week with an abdominal strain.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Out): Gilgeous-Alexander (abdomen) will miss at least one more week.
• Jalen Williams (Out): Williams (hamstring) is scheduled to be re-evaluated in approximately two weeks.
• Thomas Sorber (Out): Sorber has sustained a torn ACL in his right knee.

Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends

Toronto looks to capitalize on a depleted OKC roster. Brandon Ingram has been a scoring machine, averaging 22.0 PPG, while Scottie Barnes continues his All-Star trajectory with a versatile line of 19.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, and 5.6 APG. The Raptors’ offense is orchestrated by Immanuel Quickley (6.1 APG), who should find success against a Thunder perimeter defense missing its best lockdown defenders.

Injury Report Toronto Raptors

• Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl (back) is out for Tuesday’s game against the Thunder.
• Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn is currently assigned to the G League.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bet

The determining factor in this game is the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams, who represent the core of OKC’s offensive production. Without their top-tier shot creation, the Thunder will struggle to keep pace with a healthy Toronto wing rotation. Expect Toronto Raptors +1.5 (Spread) to cover comfortably at home. Furthermore, given the missing firepower on the visitors’ side and the likely slower pace, the under on the 218.5 total is the most analytical play.