Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.04.26

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.04.26

The Western Conference heats up as the formidable Oklahoma City Thunder (40-11) travel to the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio to face the San Antonio Spurs (33-16) on February 4th, 2026, at 9:30 PM. This regular-season clash pits two dynamic teams against each other, with the Thunder aiming to solidify their top-tier standing and the Spurs looking to leverage home court against a conference rival.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder Key Stats & Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been an offensive juggernaut this season, largely propelled by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. SGA leads the team with an impressive 32.0 PPG and orchestrates the offense with 6.4 APG, complemented by 4.4 RPG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. His efficiency and clutch play have been central to their 40-11 record. Rookie sensation Chet Holmgren anchors the defense and cleans the glass, averaging 8.5 RPG. However, the Thunder’s depth and offensive versatility face a significant test in this matchup.

Injury Report Oklahoma City Thunder

• Jalen Williams (Out): Williams (hamstring) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Magic.
• Ajay Mitchell (Out): Mitchell is out for Tuesday’s game against the Magic with an abdominal strain, per Rylan Stiles of SI.com.
• Nikola Topic (Out): Topic has been diagnosed with testicular cancer, Thunder general manager Sam Presti announced Thursday, Justin Martinez of The Oklahoman reports.
• Thomas Sorber (Out): The Thunder announced Friday that Sorber has sustained a torn ACL in his right knee during an offseason workout, NBA reporter Marc Stein reports.

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The San Antonio Spurs, despite a slightly lesser record, have shown tremendous growth, spearheaded by generational talent Victor Wembanyama. Wembanyama’s all-around impact is undeniable, averaging 24.1 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 2.7 APG, 0.9 SPG, and a league-leading 2.7 BPG. His defensive presence alone can alter game plans. Rookie Stephon Castle has quickly become a key playmaker, dishing out 7.0 APG. The Spurs thrive on Wembanyama’s unique skillset and are a formidable opponent, especially at home.

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

• Jeremy Sochan (Out): Sochan (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.
• Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters is out for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder with a left knee hypertension.
• Stephon Castle (Day-to-day): Castle (thigh) is questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Thunder.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Best Bet

This promises to be a compelling battle. While the Thunder boast a superior record, the absence of Jalen Williams (hamstring) is a critical blow to their secondary scoring and playmaking, significantly impacting their offensive flow. The Spurs, playing at home, have an undeniable advantage with Victor Wembanyama dominating both ends of the floor. Despite their own injuries to Sochan and Waters, and the questionable status of Castle, Wembanyama’s ability to control the paint and alter shots will be a major factor against a Thunder team missing key offensive contributors. Given the home-court advantage and the Thunder’s significant injury to Williams, the Spurs are well-positioned to cover the spread.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs +2.5 (Spread)

Both teams feature high-volume scorers in Gilgeous-Alexander and Wembanyama. Even with injuries, their offensive talents, combined with the pace of play often seen in these matchups, suggest a higher-scoring affair. The total points line of 225.5 seems attainable.

Over/Under Pick: over