Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.11.26

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.11.26

The Western Conference elite collide this Wednesday as the powerhouse Oklahoma City Thunder (41-13) visit the Phoenix Suns (32-22) at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Scheduled for a 9:00 PM tip-off, this contest serves as a critical litmus test for both rotations as they navigate significant injury hurdles heading into the All-Star break.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder Key Stats & Trends

The Thunder have maintained the best record in the West through elite defensive versatility and disciplined floor spacing. In the absence of their primary engine, the focus shifts to Chet Holmgren, who has been a revelation as a two-way force. OKC’s system remains resilient, moving the ball effectively even when their stars are sidelined.

• Points: Chet Holmgren (17.6)
• Rebounds: Chet Holmgren (8.7)
• Assists: Jaylin Williams (2.5)
• Rating: Chet Holmgren (17.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.6 APG, 0.5 SPG, 2.0 BPG)

Injury Report Oklahoma City Thunder

• Ajay Mitchell (Out): Mitchell (abdomen) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Suns.
• Nikola Topic (Out): Topic (illness) recently logged 17 minutes in the G League and remains unavailable for the main roster.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Out): Gilgeous-Alexander is dealing with an abdominal injury and will be re-evaluated after the All-Star break.
• Thomas Sorber (Out): Sorber is out for the season following a torn ACL in his right knee.

Phoenix Suns Key Stats & Trends

The Suns continue to lean on the offensive brilliance of Devin Booker, who leads the team in both scoring and playmaking. While Mark Williams provides a sturdy presence in the paint with 8.2 rebounds per game, the Suns have struggled with perimeter depth lately, making their efficiency from the arc a major variable in this matchup.

• Points: Devin Booker (25.3)
• Rebounds: Mark Williams (8.2)
• Assists: Devin Booker (6.3)
• Rating: Devin Booker (25.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 6.3 APG, 0.9 SPG, 0.3 BPG)

Injury Report Phoenix Suns

• Cole Anthony (Out): Anthony is currently not with the team and will miss Tuesday’s action.
• Isaiah Livers (Out): Livers (shoulder) remains sidelined until after the All-Star break.
• Grayson Allen (Out): Allen (knee) is a significant loss for the Suns’ spacing and will be re-evaluated post-All-Star break.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Best Bet

Despite the absence of MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder’s depth and defensive structure—anchored by Holmgren’s 2.0 blocks per game—give them the edge. Phoenix is missing critical floor spacing with Grayson Allen out, which will allow OKC to collapse on Devin Booker. Expect a high-paced game where OKC’s secondary playmakers step up. We are backing Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 (Spread). With both teams featuring elite shot-makers like Booker and Jalen Williams, the total is likely to trend over the 217.5 line.