New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction | 01.28.26
New York Knicks
Toronto Raptors
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 28-01-2026
The Eastern Conference playoff race intensifies as the New York Knicks (28-18) travel north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors (29-19) in a compelling regular-season matchup. Scheduled for January 28, 2026, at 7:30 PM EST in Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, this game promises a clash of contrasting styles and significant implications for both teams’ standings.
New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Preview
New York Knicks Key Stats & Trends
The New York Knicks enter this contest as a formidable unit, largely powered by the sensational play of point guard Jalen Brunson, who leads the team with an impressive 28.0 points and 6.1 assists per game. Brunson’s overall rating of 28.0 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 6.1 APG, 0.6 SPG, 0.1 BPG underscores his indispensable role as the primary offensive engine. Complementing Brunson’s perimeter brilliance is the dominant interior presence of Karl-Anthony Towns, who anchors the rebounding effort with 11.4 boards per contest. The Knicks’ strength lies in their balanced attack and robust defense, particularly with the versatile contributions of OG Anunoby and Josh Hart. Their recent form suggests a team capable of grinding out wins, often dictating a slower pace and relying on half-court execution.
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Toronto Raptors, slightly ahead in the standings, showcase a dynamic roster led by rising star Scottie Barnes. Barnes’ all-around impact is evident in his 19.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.3 SPG, 1.5 BPG, making him a triple-double threat every night and a critical defensive anchor. Scoring punch comes from Brandon Ingram, averaging a team-high 21.5 points, providing a consistent offensive threat. Playmaking is facilitated by Immanuel Quickley, who dishes out 6.2 assists per game. The Raptors thrive on athleticism and defensive versatility, often creating turnovers and pushing the pace. Their home-court advantage in Scotiabank Arena is historically significant.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Collin Murray-Boyles (Out): Murray-Boyles (thumb) is questionable for Wednesday’s matchup with the Knicks.
- Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl returned to Toronto on Sunday to receive targeted pain relief treatment for his back injury and does not have an established timeline of return. His absence significantly impacts the Raptors’ interior defense and rebounding.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points (6-10 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats. (Note: While active in the G-League, he is not expected to play in the NBA game).
New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup presents a fascinating dynamic. Despite the significant absence of Jakob Poeltl impacting their interior defense, the Toronto Raptors’ strong home court advantage, coupled with the all-around brilliance of Scottie Barnes and the consistent scoring of Brandon Ingram, gives them a slight edge. The Raptors’ athletic wings and guards are well-equipped to challenge the Knicks’ perimeter-oriented offense. Given the tight spread and Toronto’s slightly better record, we anticipate a hard-fought victory for the home team.
Prediction: Toronto Raptors -1.5 (Spread)
Considering the defensive prowess of both teams and the potential for a slower pace, especially with Poeltl’s absence possibly affecting the Raptors’ offensive flow inside, a lower-scoring affair is probable. The Knicks’ defense, featuring Anunoby and Hart, is stout, and they often play disciplined, half-court basketball.
Total Points Line (224.5): Under
Last 5 Games: NY
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sacramento | W 103-87 | Brunson 28 | Robinson 13 | Bridges 5 |
| @ Philadelphia | W 112-109 | Brunson 31 | Hart 13 | Hart 7 |
| vs Brooklyn | W 120-66 | Brunson 20 | Hart 9 | Brunson 5 |
| vs Dallas | L 114-97 | Towns 22 | Towns 18 | Brunson 6 |
| vs Phoenix | L 106-99 | Towns 23 | Towns 11 | McBride 5 |
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Oklahoma City | W 103-101 | Quickley 23 | Quickley 11 | Barnes 8 |
| @ Portland | W 110-98 | Mamukelashvili 22 | Barnes 9 | Quickley 7 |
| @ Sacramento | W 122-109 | Barnes 23 | Mamukelashvili 9 | Quickley 8 |
| @ Golden State | W 145-127 | Quickley 40 | Mamukelashvili 12 | Barnes 11 |
| @ Los Angeles | L 110-93 | Barnes 22 | Barnes 9 | Ingram 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.