New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.28.26
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz
Game Winner
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
Z. Williamson
B. Sensabaugh
Detailed Analysis
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.28.26
As the NBA regular season moves into its final stages, the Delta Center in Salt Lake City becomes the stage for a Western Conference clash between the New Orleans Pelicans (18-42) and the Utah Jazz (18-41). Scheduled for 9:30 PM on February 28, 2026, this matchup features two teams looking to salvage momentum despite challenging records and significant injury hurdles.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Matchup Preview
New Orleans Pelicans Key Stats & Trends
The Pelicans’ offense continues to revolve around the interior dominance of Zion Williamson, who leads the squad with 21.9 PPG and a versatile 21.9 player rating. Supporting him is the emerging Derik Queen, who has become a focal point for the second unit, leading the team in both rebounds (7.3) and assists (4.0). While the Pelicans struggle with consistency, their ability to score in the paint remains a high-level threat against a depleted Jazz frontcourt.
Injury Report New Orleans Pelicans
- Yves Missi (Out): Missi (calf) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Jazz.
- Dejounte Murray (Out): Murray (return to conditioning) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Jazz.
- Trey Murphy III (Out): Murphy (shoulder) has been ruled out for Saturday’s game against the Jazz.
Utah Jazz Key Stats & Trends
The Utah Jazz are currently navigating a severe identity crisis due to an unprecedented injury wave. With their primary stars sidelined, Brice Sensabaugh has stepped up as the leading scorer at 12.9 PPG. Playmaking duties fall squarely on Isaiah Collier, who averages an impressive 7.3 APG. However, without their defensive anchors, the Jazz have struggled to protect the rim, relying on Kyle Filipowski (6.6 RPG) to manage a massive workload in the paint.
Injury Report Utah Jazz
- Keyonte George (Out): George (ankle) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Pelicans.
- Lauri Markkanen (Out): Utah will re-evaluate Markkanen in two weeks due to symptomatic hip impingement and a bone bruise.
- Vince Williams Jr. (Out): Williams will miss the remainder of the season with a torn left ACL.
- Jusuf Nurkic (Out): Nurkic is scheduled for season-ending nose surgery.
- Jaren Jackson Jr. (Out): Jackson will miss the remainder of the season (knee).
- Walker Kessler (Out): Kessler will miss the remainder of the season following shoulder surgery.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Best Bet
Given the catastrophic state of the Utah roster, the New Orleans Pelicans are the definitive pick to win. The Jazz are missing their top four interior defenders and their primary scoring option in Markkanen. Zion Williamson should find little resistance at the rim, allowing New Orleans to control the pace early. Despite the Pelicans missing Murray’s playmaking, the Jazz simply lack the personnel to match Zion’s physicality.
Regarding the total, the under on 243.5 is the smart play. Both teams are missing elite perimeter shooters and primary offensive engines. Expect a disjointed game with lower shooting percentages, as neither side possesses the healthy depth required to push this game into a high-scoring shootout.
Last 5 Games: NO
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Utah | W 129-118 | Bey 42 | Queen 7 | Murray 9 |
| vs Golden State | W 113-109 | Williamson 26 | Matkovic 8 | Fears 5 |
| vs Philadelphia | W 126-111 | Poole 23 | Jordan 15 | Williamson 8 |
| vs Milwaukee | L 139-118 | Williamson 32 | Queen 9 | Fears 5 |
| vs Miami | L 123-111 | Williamson 25 | Fears 10 | Fears 8 |
Last 5 Games: UTAH
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Orleans | L 129-118 | Bailey 23 | Love 8 | Collier 7 |
| @ Houston | L 125-105 | Markkanen 29 | Love 9 | Love 5 |
| @ Memphis | L 123-114 | Collier 24 | Williams 9 | Collier 5 |
| vs Portland | L 135-119 | Sensabaugh 28 | Filipowski 9 | Collier 9 |
| vs Sacramento | W 121-93 | Jackson Jr. 23 | Nurkic 9 | Collier 14 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.