New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & Picks | 03.05.26
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
T. Murphy III
D. DeRozan
Detailed Analysis
New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 03.05.26
In a late-season clash between two teams looking to salvage pride, the New Orleans Pelicans (19-44) travel to face the Sacramento Kings (14-49). This regular-season matchup is set for Thursday, March 5, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET in the Golden 1 Center, with both franchises navigating significant roster challenges.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Matchup Preview
New Orleans Pelicans Key Stats & Trends
Despite a difficult season, the Pelicans have found a consistent offensive force in Trey Murphy III, who is averaging an impressive 22.0 PPG. His all-around game (5.7 RPG, 3.8 APG) has been a bright spot. In the frontcourt, rookie Derik Queen has emerged as a key contributor, leading the team in both rebounds (7.2 RPG) and assists (3.9 APG). However, New Orleans’ struggles are directly tied to their inability to keep their core healthy, which is reflected in their poor record.
Injury Report New Orleans Pelicans
- Zion Williamson (Day-to-day): Williamson (ankle) is questionable for Thursday’s game in Sacramento.
- Trey Murphy III (Day-to-day): Murphy is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game against the Kings due to neck spasms.
- Dejounte Murray (Out): Murray (reconditioning) is out for Thursday’s game against the Kings.
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Kings have been decimated by injuries, forcing veterans DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook into primary roles. DeRozan leads the depleted squad with 18.2 PPG, while Westbrook facilitates the offense, dishing out a team-high 6.3 APG. Rookie center Maxime Raynaud has been thrust into a significant role, pulling down 7.2 RPG. The team’s 14-49 record underscores the catastrophic impact of losing nearly all of their original starting lineup for the season.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- Keegan Murray (Out): Murray will have his sprained left ankle reevaluated by medical staff in two weeks.
- De’Andre Hunter (Out): Hunter is set to undergo season-ending eye surgery.
- Dylan Cardwell (Out): Cardwell sprained his left ankle and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Domantas Sabonis (Out): Sabonis underwent season-ending knee surgery to repair a torn left meniscus.
- Zach LaVine (Out): LaVine will undergo season-ending surgery on his right hand.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup features two of the most injury-riddled teams in the league, but the Kings’ situation is far more dire. Sacramento is without its All-Star center Domantas Sabonis and key scorers Zach LaVine and Keegan Murray for the season. Their roster is a shell of what it was intended to be.
The Pelicans are also banged up, with Zion Williamson and top scorer Trey Murphy III listed as questionable. However, even if only one of them plays, New Orleans possesses more firepower than the Kings’ skeleton crew. The sheer volume of season-ending injuries for Sacramento makes it difficult to envision them competing effectively. The Pelicans should be able to control the game against a team that has been forced into a full-scale youth movement.
Given the defensive liabilities and depleted rosters on both sides, expect a high-possession game with minimal resistance, pushing the total score up.
Predicted Winner: New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 (Spread)
Over/Under Pick: Over 234.5
Last 5 Games: NO
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Los Angeles | L 110-101 | Williamson 24 | Murphy III 8 | Murray 8 |
| @ LA | L 137-117 | Fears 28 | Missi 8 | Murray 5 |
| @ Utah | W 115-105 | Bey 24 | Fears 11 | Jones 7 |
| @ Utah | W 129-118 | Bey 42 | Queen 7 | Murray 9 |
| vs Golden State | W 113-109 | Williamson 26 | Matkovic 8 | Fears 5 |
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Phoenix | L 114-103 | Raynaud 22 | Raynaud 10 | Westbrook 7 |
| @ Los Angeles | L 128-104 | Clifford 26 | Raynaud 13 | DeRozan 8 |
| @ Dallas | W 130-121 | Achiuwa 29 | Achiuwa 12 | Clifford 7 |
| @ Houston | L 128-97 | Westbrook 22 | Achiuwa 10 | DeRozan 7 |
| @ Memphis | W 123-114 | Westbrook 25 | Raynaud 13 | Westbrook 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.
