Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.04.26
Last Updated: Feb 4, 2026 12:10 AM
Wednesday, 04 Feb 2026
TOR -1.5
Minnesota Timberwolves
L
W
W
W
W
31-20
VS
7:30 PM
Toronto Raptors
W
L
L
W
W
30-21
Game Spread
TOR -1.5
Total Points
Under
224.5
Tale of the Tape
MIN
Stat Comparison
TOR
119.5
PPG
113.6
44.9
RPG
43.1
26.6
APG
29.3
48.2
FG%
47.1
37.6
3P%
34.0
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
VS
A. Edwards
29.7 PPG
B. Ingram
21.9 PPG
Detailed Analysis
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.04.26
In a pivotal regular-season clash, the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-20) journey to Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, to face the Toronto Raptors (30-21) on February 4th, 2026, at 7:30 PM EST. This matchup promises an intriguing battle between two competitive teams looking to solidify their playoff positioning.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Preview
Minnesota Timberwolves Key Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have established themselves as a formidable force, largely thanks to their defensive prowess and the offensive brilliance of Anthony Edwards, who leads the team with an impressive 29.7 points per game. His overall rating of 29.7 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.8 BPG highlights his two-way impact. Inside, Rudy Gobert anchors the paint, dominating the boards with 11.3 rebounds per game. Playmaking often runs through Julius Randle, who contributes 5.4 assists per game. However, their offensive rhythm can become stagnant if Edwards isn’t firing, and their depth will be tested.
Injury Report Minnesota Timberwolves
- Julius Randle (Day-to-day): Randle (thumb) is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Raptors.
- Terrence Shannon Jr. (Out): Shannon (foot) is out for Wednesday’s game against Toronto.
- Anthony Edwards (Day-to-day): Edwards is questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Raptors due to left elbow soreness.
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
The Toronto Raptors, known for their athletic, switchable defense, have found their offensive footing this season. Brandon Ingram leads their scoring efforts with 21.9 points per game, providing a consistent perimeter threat. The versatile Scottie Barnes is their engine, posting an all-around rating of 19.3 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.5 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 1.6 BPG, making him crucial on both ends. Immanuel Quickley orchestrates the offense, dishing out 6.1 assists per game. Their home court advantage and aggressive defensive schemes make them a tough out.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl returned to Toronto on Sunday to receive targeted pain relief treatment for his back injury and does not have an established timeline of return, Blake Murphy of Sportsnet.ca reports.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points (6-10 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bet
The significant injury concerns for the Minnesota Timberwolves heavily tilt this matchup in Toronto’s favor. With Anthony Edwards (elbow soreness) and Julius Randle (thumb) both listed as questionable, the Wolves face a daunting task in generating consistent offense against a stingy Raptors defense. Edwards’ potential absence alone removes nearly 30 points per game and their primary offensive creator. While Rudy Gobert will still dominate the glass, the scoring vacuum will be immense. The Raptors, despite Jakob Poeltl’s absence, have Scottie Barnes (19.3 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.5 APG) ready to exploit any defensive lapses and Brandon Ingram to carry the scoring load. Given Minnesota’s potential lack of firepower, we predict the Toronto Raptors -1.5 (Spread) to cover at home. Furthermore, with both teams potentially missing key offensive pieces (Edwards/Randle for MIN, Poeltl for TOR impacting interior offense), and the Raptors’ defensive focus, scoring could be limited. Therefore, we are picking the total points to go under 224.5.
Last 5 Games: MIN
Form:
LWWWW
VS
@ Memphis
L 137-128
PTS
Edwards 39
REB
Gobert 10
AST
Randle 8
VS
@ Memphis
W 131-114
PTS
Edwards 33
REB
Gobert 16
AST
Randle 7
VS
vs Oklahoma City
W 123-111
PTS
Edwards 26
REB
Gobert 11
AST
Edwards 5
VS
@ Dallas
W 118-105
PTS
Randle 31
REB
Reid 8
AST
Edwards 6
VS
vs Golden State
W 108-83
PTS
Randle 18
REB
Gobert 17
AST
DiVincenzo 8
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Memphis | L 137-128 | Edwards 39 | Gobert 10 | Randle 8 |
| @ Memphis | W 131-114 | Edwards 33 | Gobert 16 | Randle 7 |
| vs Oklahoma City | W 123-111 | Edwards 26 | Gobert 11 | Edwards 5 |
| @ Dallas | W 118-105 | Randle 31 | Reid 8 | Edwards 6 |
| vs Golden State | W 108-83 | Randle 18 | Gobert 17 | DiVincenzo 8 |
Last 5 Games: TOR
Form:
WLLWW
VS
vs Utah
W 107-100
PTS
Barrett 21
REB
Barnes 9
AST
Barrett 4
VS
@ Orlando
L 130-120
PTS
Ingram 35
REB
Barnes 8
AST
Barnes 6
VS
vs New York
L 119-92
PTS
Ingram 27
REB
Barnes 10
AST
Barnes 5
VS
@ Oklahoma City
W 103-101
PTS
Quickley 23
REB
Quickley 11
AST
Barnes 8
VS
@ Portland
W 110-98
PTS
Mamukelashvili 22
REB
Barnes 9
AST
Quickley 7
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah | W 107-100 | Barrett 21 | Barnes 9 | Barrett 4 |
| @ Orlando | L 130-120 | Ingram 35 | Barnes 8 | Barnes 6 |
| vs New York | L 119-92 | Ingram 27 | Barnes 10 | Barnes 5 |
| @ Oklahoma City | W 103-101 | Quickley 23 | Quickley 11 | Barnes 8 |
| @ Portland | W 110-98 | Mamukelashvili 22 | Barnes 9 | Quickley 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
5 YEARS EXPERIENCE
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.