Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction | 02.02.26

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02-02-2026

This regular-season matchup on February 2nd, 2026, at 7:30 PM in FedExForum, Memphis, pits the formidable Minnesota Timberwolves (31-19) against the struggling Memphis Grizzlies (18-29). While the Timberwolves aim to solidify their playoff position, the Grizzlies are battling a season-long injury crisis, making this an intriguing contest with significant implications for betting lines.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Matchup Preview

Minnesota Timberwolves Key Stats & Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves have established themselves as a defensive powerhouse this season, anchored by Rudy Gobert’s interior presence. Offensively, they are heavily reliant on the scoring prowess of Anthony Edwards, who leads the team with an impressive 29.4 points per game. His all-around impact is undeniable, averaging 29.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. While Gobert commands the boards with 11.3 rebounds per game, the playmaking duties often fall to others, with Julius Randle contributing 5.4 assists per game. Their recent form has been solid, but their offensive rhythm can falter if key contributors are sidelined.

Injury Report Minnesota Timberwolves

• Anthony Edwards (Day-to-day): Edwards is questionable for Monday’s game against the Grizzlies due to back spasms.
• Terrence Shannon Jr. (Out): Shannon (foot) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against Memphis.
• Julius Randle (Day-to-day): Randle is questionable for Monday’s game against the Grizzlies due to left thumb soreness.

Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies have endured a season plagued by injuries, severely impacting their consistency. Despite the adversity, Jaren Jackson Jr. remains a focal point, leading the team with 19.0 points per game. In the absence of key players, others have stepped up, with Jock Landale pulling down 6.5 rebounds per game and Cam Spencer orchestrating the offense with 5.6 assists per game. Notably, Ty Jerome has shown flashes, averaging 20.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 6.0 APG, and 1.0 SPG, indicating that even a depleted roster can find offensive sparks.

Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies

• Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out): Pippen (toe) is out for Monday’s game against the Timberwolves.
• John Konchar (Out): Konchar (neck) is out for Monday’s game against the Timberwolves.
• Santi Aldama (Out): Aldama (knee) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Timberwolves.
• Jaren Jackson Jr. (Day-to-day): Jackson (quadriceps) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Timberwolves.
• Ja Morant (Out): Morant (elbow) will be reevaluated in approximately three weeks, the Grizzlies announced Saturday.
• Zach Edey (Out): The Grizzlies announced Wednesday that Edey continues to recover from a stress reaction in his left ankle and will maintain his current plan of offloading and rehabilitation before being re-evaluated in six weeks.
• Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke is progressing well from his Grade 2 right calf strain and is expected to return in four to six weeks, the Grizzlies announced Wednesday.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Best Bet

This game presents a fascinating challenge for handicappers. While the Grizzlies’ injury report is extensive, the Timberwolves’ own day-to-day statuses for stars Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle are critical. If Edwards, the team’s primary scorer, is limited or out, Minnesota’s offensive ceiling drops significantly. Even with Memphis’s woes, their home court advantage and the potential for a “next man up” mentality, combined with Minnesota’s potential absences, make the spread attractive. The Grizzlies, despite their record, often play with tenacity at home. Given the uncertainty surrounding Minnesota’s key players, we project a closer contest than the spread suggests.

Predicted Winner: Memphis Grizzlies +7.5 (Spread)

Regarding the total points line of 227.5, both teams could see elevated scoring. If Edwards and Randle play, Minnesota’s offense is potent. If they don’t, other players like Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniels will likely shoulder more of the scoring load, potentially leading to more possessions. The Grizzlies, playing without pressure, could push the pace and capitalize on any defensive lapses from a potentially disoriented Timberwolves lineup. We anticipate enough offensive output from both sides to push past the total.

Over/Under Pick: over