Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction | 01.19.26
Milwaukee Bucks
Atlanta Hawks
Game Winner
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 19-01-2026
The regular season continues to deliver compelling matchups, and this clash between the Milwaukee Bucks (17-24) and the Atlanta Hawks (20-24) on January 19, 2026, at 1:00 PM in State Farm Arena, Atlanta, promises to be an intriguing affair. Both teams are navigating challenging seasons, making this game pivotal for their playoff aspirations.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Matchup Preview
Milwaukee Bucks Key Stats & Trends
The Milwaukee Bucks have been largely defined by the extraordinary individual brilliance of Giannis Antetokounmpo, who continues to dominate with an incredible 28.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game, alongside strong defensive contributions (0.9 SPG, 0.8 BPG). Despite Giannis’s MVP-caliber production, the team’s 17-24 record reflects broader inconsistencies, particularly on the defensive end. Playmaking has seen a boost from Ryan Rollins, who averages 5.5 assists. The Bucks often rely heavily on Giannis to carry the scoring load, which can make them predictable against well-prepared defenses.
Injury Report Milwaukee Bucks
- Taurean Prince (Out): The Bucks applied for a Disabled Player Exception for Prince earlier this month, indicating that they anticipate that he’s “substantially more likely than not” to be unable to play through June 15, Eric Nehm of The Athletic reports.
Atlanta Hawks Key Stats & Trends
The Atlanta Hawks, despite a modest 20-24 record, have seen Jalen Johnson emerge as a true all-around force. Johnson is posting stellar numbers, averaging 22.8 points, 10.1 rebounds, and 8.0 assists, complemented by 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. His ability to impact every facet of the game is crucial for the Hawks. However, the team’s overall performance has been hampered by injuries and a struggle for consistent team chemistry. Their offensive rhythm often hinges on Johnson’s ability to create.
Injury Report Atlanta Hawks
- Zaccharie Risacher (Out): Risacher (knee) is out for Monday’s game against the Bucks.
- Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Porzingis (Achilles) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Bucks.
- Dyson Daniels (Day-to-day): Daniels (ankle) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Bucks.
- N’Faly Dante (Out): Dante will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL in his right knee, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup presents a clash of star power against significant injury woes. While Giannis Antetokounmpo is a singular force, the Bucks’ struggles beyond him are evident in their losing record. The Hawks, despite their own injury list, particularly the crucial absence of Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) and Zaccharie Risacher (knee), will lean heavily on the exceptional all-around play of Jalen Johnson. Playing at home, Johnson’s ability to fill the stat sheet (22.8 PPG, 10.1 RPG, 8.0 APG) and elevate his teammates should be enough to overcome the Bucks’ reliance on Giannis. We predict the winner will be the Atlanta Hawks.
Given the offensive firepower of both Giannis and Johnson, coupled with the defensive inconsistencies of both teams, this game is poised for a high-scoring outcome. The total points line is set at 232.5. With Porzingis out, the Hawks’ interior defense might be compromised, potentially allowing easier buckets for the Bucks. Conversely, the Bucks’ defense isn’t impenetrable. Both teams have the capacity to push the pace. Therefore, we are confidently taking the over on the total points.
Last 5 Games: MIL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ San Antonio | L 119-101 | Antetokounmpo 21 | Rollins 7 | Rollins 7 |
| vs Minnesota | L 139-106 | Antetokounmpo 25 | Antetokounmpo 8 | Porter Jr. 8 |
| @ Denver | L 108-104 | Antetokounmpo 31 | Porter Jr. 9 | Antetokounmpo 11 |
| @ Los Angeles | W 105-101 | Porter Jr. 22 | Portis 12 | Porter Jr. 6 |
| @ Golden State | L 120-113 | Antetokounmpo 34 | Antetokounmpo 10 | Porter Jr. 9 |
Last 5 Games: ATL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | L 132-106 | Okongwu 21 | Johnson 8 | Alexander-Walker 6 |
| @ Portland | L 117-101 | Okongwu 26 | Johnson 11 | Alexander-Walker 7 |
| @ Los Angeles | L 141-116 | Alexander-Walker 26 | Daniels 8 | Johnson 6 |
| @ Golden State | W 124-111 | Alexander-Walker 24 | Okongwu 12 | Daniels 9 |
| @ Denver | W 110-87 | Johnson 29 | Daniels 11 | Daniels 10 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.