Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction | 01.25.26

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 25-01-2026

Anticipation builds for a compelling regular-season matchup as the Miami Heat (24-22) prepare to face the Phoenix Suns (27-18) on January 25, 2026, at 8:00 PM EST from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. This clash features two teams with distinct playoff aspirations, each navigating significant roster challenges, promising a hard-fought contest.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview

Miami Heat Key Stats & Trends

The Miami Heat arrive in Phoenix struggling to find consistency, largely due to a litany of injuries. Their offensive output has relied heavily on veteran contributions, with Norman Powell leading the charge at an impressive 23.5 points per game. Powell also contributes across the board with 3.6 RPG, 2.6 APG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.2 BPG, underscoring his critical two-way impact. Inside, Bam Adebayo remains a defensive anchor and elite rebounder, pulling down 9.6 boards per game. Playmaking duties have seen an uptick for Jaime Jaquez Jr., who averages 4.7 assists per game. However, the team’s depth and offensive creativity are severely tested.

Injury Report Miami Heat

• Davion Mitchell (Out): Mitchell (shoulder) is out for Saturday’s game against the Jazz, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
• Kel’el Ware (Out): Ware returned to Miami for treatment on his strained right hamstring Thursday, and he won’t play in the Heat’s back-to-back set against the Jazz on Saturday and the Suns on Sunday, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
• Tyler Herro (Out): An MRI revealed a costochondral issue with Herro’s ribs that will sideline him for Miami’s five-game road trip, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
• Terry Rozier (Out): The NBA placed Rozier on immediate leave from the Heat on Thursday, ESPN’s Shams Charania reports.

Phoenix Suns Key Stats & Trends

The Phoenix Suns, despite their own injury woes, maintain a stronger record, demonstrating resilience. Their offense has found a new primary scorer in Dillon Brooks, who is averaging 20.2 points per game. Brooks’ all-around game (3.5 RPG, 1.7 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.1 BPG) has been vital in sustaining their competitive edge. On the glass, Mark Williams is a dominant force, securing 8.2 rebounds per game. The backcourt playmaking has been orchestrated by Collin Gillespie, dishing out 4.8 assists per game. The Suns will look to leverage their home-court advantage and depth.

Injury Report Phoenix Suns

• Jalen Green (Day-to-day): Green (hamstring) is questionable for Sunday’s game against Miami, Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic reports.
• Devin Booker (Out): Booker (ankle) is out for Sunday’s game against the Heat, Duane Rankin of The Arizona Republic reports.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Best Bet

Considering the extensive injury list for the Miami Heat, which includes key offensive players Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier, alongside rotation pieces Davion Mitchell and Kel’el Ware, their scoring punch and defensive versatility will be severely compromised. While the Suns are without Devin Booker, the Heat’s absences are more widespread and impactful. Dillon Brooks will be tasked with leading the Suns’ offense, and with Mark Williams controlling the paint, Phoenix holds a significant advantage in available talent and depth. Therefore, our prediction is a victory for the Phoenix Suns.

Regarding the total points line of 228.5, both teams are missing significant defensive presences due to injuries, and the offensive burden will fall on players who might push the pace or take more shots. With Miami’s depleted roster potentially struggling to contain the Suns, and Phoenix’s offense adapting without Booker, we project a more open game than usual. Our pick for the total is over 228.5 points.