Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.24.26

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.24.26

This late-February Eastern Conference showdown at Fiserv Forum features a Miami Heat (31-27) squad looking to solidify their playoff seeding against a Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) team fighting to overcome significant roster turnover and injuries. Scheduled for 02.24.26 at 8:00 PM, this matchup serves as a critical litmus test for both franchises as the postseason race intensifies.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Matchup Preview

Miami Heat Key Stats & Trends

The Heat continue to rely on their “culture” of defensive grit and balanced scoring. Norman Powell has emerged as a primary offensive engine, averaging 22.9 points, while Tyler Herro provides elite secondary scoring with 21.5 PPG and 4.7 RPG. In the paint, Bam Adebayo remains a double-double threat and defensive anchor, securing 9.8 rebounds per game. However, Miami’s backcourt depth is currently being tested due to availability issues.

Injury Report Miami Heat

• Nikola Jovic (Day-to-day): Jovic (back) is doubtful for Tuesday’s game against the Bucks.
• Davion Mitchell (Day-to-day): Mitchell (illness) is questionable for Tuesday’s game against the Bucks, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.
• Terry Rozier (Out): The NBA placed Rozier on immediate leave from the Heat on Thursday, ESPN’s Shams Charania reports.

Milwaukee Bucks Key Stats & Trends

Life without the “Greek Freak” has forced Milwaukee to pivot toward a more perimeter-oriented attack. Ryan Rollins has stepped into a leadership role, leading the team in both scoring (17.1 PTS) and playmaking (5.4 AST). Support comes from Kevin Porter Jr., who is contributing a versatile 17.7 PPG and 7.7 APG. While Bobby Portis provides veteran stability on the glass (6.7 REB), the Bucks must compensate for a significant lack of interior rim protection.

Injury Report Milwaukee Bucks

• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Out): Antetokounmpo (calf) is out for Tuesday’s game against Miami.
• Taurean Prince (Out): The Bucks applied for a Disabled Player Exception for Prince earlier this month, indicating that they anticipate that he’s “substantially more likely than not” to be unable to play through June 15, Eric Nehm of The Athletic reports.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Best Bet

Despite the Heat having a superior record, the potential absence of Davion Mitchell combined with Terry Rozier’s leave creates a massive void at point guard. This allows Milwaukee’s backcourt duo of Rollins and Porter Jr. to dictate the tempo. Expect a high-scoring affair as both teams struggle with missing defensive specialists like Giannis and Jovic. We predict the Bucks will keep this tight at home.

Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 (Spread)
Total Points Pick: over 228.5