Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.04.26
Memphis Grizzlies
Sacramento Kings
Game Winner
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
C. Coward
Z. LaVine
Detailed Analysis
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.04.26
In a compelling regular-season matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies (19-29) are set to face the Sacramento Kings (12-39) on February 4th, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET in the Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. This game pits two teams battling significant roster challenges, making for an unpredictable contest where depth and resilience will be key.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Matchup Preview
Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends
The Memphis Grizzlies enter this game severely depleted by injuries, yet they hold a better overall record than their opponents. Despite the absences, players like Ty Jerome have stepped up significantly, boasting an impressive rating with 19.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 7.0 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Rookie Cedric Coward has also shown promise, leading the team in scoring with 13.8 PPG and rebounding with 6.2 RPG, demonstrating his impact on both ends. Cam Spencer orchestrates the offense effectively, averaging 5.6 APG. However, the sheer volume of key players sidelined will test the Grizzlies’ rotational depth and strategic adjustments.
Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies
- Taylor Hendricks (Out): Hendricks (recently traded) is out for Wednesday’s game against Sacramento.
- Walter Clayton Jr. (Out): Clayton (recently traded) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Kings.
- Kyle Anderson (Out): Anderson (illness/recently traded) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Kings.
- Scotty Pippen Jr. (Out): Pippen (toe) is doubtful for Wednesday’s game against Sacramento.
- Santi Aldama (Out): Aldama (knee) is questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Kings.
- Georges Niang (Out): The Jazz are trading Niang (foot) to the Grizzlies as part of the deal centered around Jaren Jackson on Tuesday, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
- Ja Morant (Out): Morant (elbow) will be reevaluated in approximately three weeks, the Grizzlies announced Saturday.
- Zach Edey (Out): The Grizzlies announced Wednesday that Edey continues to recover from a stress reaction in his left ankle and will maintain his current plan of offloading and rehabilitation before being re-evaluated in six weeks.
- Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke is progressing well from his Grade 2 right calf strain and is expected to return in four to six weeks, the Grizzlies announced Wednesday.
Sacramento Kings Key Stats & Trends
The Sacramento Kings are enduring a challenging season, reflected in their 12-39 record. Their offense is spearheaded by Zach LaVine, who averages 19.8 PPG, providing a much-needed scoring punch. Veteran guard Russell Westbrook continues to be a primary playmaker, leading the team with 6.7 APG. On the boards, Maxime Raynaud has emerged as a key contributor, pulling down 6.5 RPG. The potential absence of their star big man, however, looms large over their frontcourt stability and overall offensive flow.
Injury Report Sacramento Kings
- Domantas Sabonis (Day-to-day): Sabonis (back) is listed as questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Grizzlies.
- Keegan Murray (Out): Murray (ankle) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Jason Anderson of The Sacramento Bee reports.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Best Bet
Despite a staggering injury report, the Memphis Grizzlies are poised to emerge victorious in this matchup. Their 19-29 record, while not stellar, is significantly more competitive than the Kings’ 12-39. Sacramento faces its own critical injury concerns with Keegan Murray out and Domantas Sabonis questionable. If Sabonis doesn’t play, the Kings lose their interior anchor and primary rebounder, leaving them vulnerable. The Grizzlies, even with a patchwork lineup, have shown flashes of resilience through players like Ty Jerome’s all-around excellence and Cedric Coward’s consistent scoring and rebounding. Given Sacramento’s struggles and potential lack of Sabonis, Memphis’s collective effort should be enough to secure the win.
Predicted Winner: Memphis Grizzlies
The total points line is set at 228.5. Both teams have demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities this season, and with key players out, rotations might be stretched, leading to more open looks. The Kings’ reliance on Zach LaVine and Russell Westbrook for offense, combined with Memphis’s remaining offensive threats, suggests a game where points will be scored. Expect a relatively high-scoring affair.
Over/Under Pick: Over 228.5
Last 5 Games: MEM
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Minnesota | W 137-128 | Jackson Jr. 30 | Jackson 8 | Jerome 8 |
| vs Minnesota | L 131-114 | Jerome 20 | Landale 8 | Jerome 6 |
| @ New Orleans | L 114-106 | Jackson Jr. 16 | Jackson Jr. 9 | Coward 5 |
| vs Charlotte | L 112-97 | Jackson Jr. 26 | Konchar 6 | Spencer 6 |
| @ Houston | L 108-99 | Aldama 17 | Williams Jr. 8 | Spencer 13 |
Last 5 Games: SAC
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | L 116-112 | LaVine 35 | LaVine 6 | DeRozan 5 |
| @ Boston | L 112-93 | LaVine 17 | Raynaud 14 | Monk 4 |
| @ Philadelphia | L 113-111 | Schroder 27 | Achiuwa 13 | DeRozan 8 |
| @ New York | L 103-87 | DeRozan 34 | Sabonis 12 | Sabonis 7 |
| @ Detroit | L 139-116 | Monk 19 | Cardwell 9 | Sabonis 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.