Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.09.26

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.09.26

The Chase Center in San Francisco becomes a battleground of attrition this Monday as the Memphis Grizzlies (20-31) face the Golden State Warriors (28-25). With both rosters decimated by significant injuries to their franchise cornerstones, this matchup will be decided by depth and the efficiency of secondary scoring options in a high-stakes Western Conference clash.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Matchup Preview

Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are navigating a difficult stretch without their primary stars, leaning heavily on Ty Jerome, who leads the team with a stellar 20.0 PPG and 5.5 APG. Cedric Coward has emerged as a reliable double-double threat, averaging 13.6 points and 6.3 rebounds. While the absence of Ja Morant limits their transition game, Cam Spencer’s 5.6 assists per game have kept the half-court offense functional. Memphis has shown resilience, covering the spread in recent road games by slowing the tempo and forcing physical play.

Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies

• Walter Clayton Jr. (Day-to-day): Clayton is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Warriors due to a right calf contusion.
• Santi Aldama (Out): Aldama (knee) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Warriors.
• Ja Morant (Out): Morant (elbow) will be reevaluated in approximately three weeks, the Grizzlies announced Saturday.
• Zach Edey (Out): The Grizzlies announced Wednesday that Edey continues to recover from a stress reaction in his left ankle and will maintain his current plan of offloading and rehabilitation before being re-evaluated in six weeks.
• Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke is progressing well from his Grade 2 right calf strain and is expected to return in four to six weeks, the Grizzlies announced Wednesday.

Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends

Golden State is facing a crisis of identity with Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler III sidelined. The offensive burden now shifts to Brandin Podziemski, who is averaging 11.9 PPG and 4.6 RPG. Veteran Draymond Green remains the defensive anchor and primary facilitator, contributing 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists. Without their elite shooters, the Warriors’ spacing has suffered, forcing them to rely on mid-range execution and defensive stops to remain competitive in the playoff race.

Injury Report Golden State Warriors

• L.J. Cryer (Out): Cryer (hamstring) is out for Monday’s game against the Grizzlies.
• Stephen Curry (Out): Curry (knee) is out for Monday’s game against the Grizzlies.
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out): The Warriors plan to have Porzingis (Achilles) wait until after the All-Star break to make his team debut.
• Seth Curry (Out): The Warriors announced Saturday that Curry (back) has progressed to on-court workouts and will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
• Jimmy Butler III (Out): Butler’s injury from Monday Night’s game involves a torn right ACL and he will be out for the rest of the season.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Best Bet

Given the massive void left by the absence of Curry and Butler, the Warriors lack the offensive firepower to justify a nearly double-digit spread. Ty Jerome is currently the most polished offensive creator on the floor, which gives Memphis a distinct advantage in late-clock situations. While the Warriors hold the home-court advantage, the Grizzlies’ grit and the production of Coward should keep this contest within two possessions. We are taking Memphis Grizzlies +9.5 (Spread). Additionally, despite the missing stars, the total of 218.5 is low enough for the over to hit, as defensive rotations for both teams have struggled with consistency amidst these lineup changes.