Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.27.26

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.27.26

On February 27, 2026, the American Airlines Center hosts a Western Conference clash between two teams fighting through transitional seasons. The Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) travel to face the Dallas Mavericks (21-37) in a matchup defined by depth testing and the emergence of young talent. With both rosters heavily impacted by the injury bug, this game will be decided by which secondary unit can maintain offensive efficiency under pressure.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Preview

Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have leaned heavily on Ty Jerome, who has been a revelation this season, posting a stellar 19.6 PPG and 5.6 APG. Despite their record, Memphis remains competitive due to the playmaking of Cam Spencer (5.6 APG) and the scoring flashes of Jaylen Wells (12.3 PPG). However, the Grizzlies struggle on the glass, with GG Jackson leading the team at a modest 3.9 RPG, highlighting a significant lack of interior presence.

Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies

• Brandon Clarke (Out): Clarke (calf) is out for Friday’s game against Dallas.
• Santi Aldama (Out): Aldama (knee) is out for Friday’s game against the Mavericks.
• Ty Jerome (Day-to-day): Jerome is listed as doubtful for Friday’s game against the Mavericks due to a left thigh contusion.
• Cedric Coward (Out): Coward (knee) is out for Friday’s game against Dallas.
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Out): Underwent surgery on his right pinky finger; will miss the remainder of the season.
• Ja Morant (Out): Continuing to experience discomfort from a UCL sprain; re-evaluated in two weeks.
• Zach Edey (Out): Recovering from a stress reaction in his left ankle; out at least six weeks.

Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends

Dallas is navigating a difficult stretch without their primary stars. Naji Marshall has stepped into a leadership role, leading the team in both scoring (15.2 PPG) and rebounding (4.9 RPG). The offense is currently facilitated by Ryan Nembhard, who averages 4.9 APG. The Mavericks’ success hinges on their ability to space the floor, but the loss of elite rim protection has made them vulnerable in the paint.

Injury Report Dallas Mavericks

• P.J. Washington (Day-to-day): Washington (ankle) has been ruled out.
• Daniel Gafford (Out): Out due to right ankle injury management.
• Cooper Flagg (Out): Flagg (foot) is out for Friday’s game.
• Kyrie Irving (Out): Irving (knee) will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
• Dereck Lively II (Out): Successfully underwent surgery on his right foot.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Best Bet

Given the extensive injury lists for both squads, this game will likely be a high-variance affair. While Dallas holds home-court advantage, the Grizzlies’ ability to generate points through Jerome and Spencer’s playmaking offers a slight edge in a “next man up” scenario. The Mavericks’ depleted frontcourt without Lively and Gafford leaves them exposed. Expect a high-scoring game as defensive rotations falter.

Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 (Spread)
Total Points: over 236.5