Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.08.26
Indiana Pacers
Toronto Raptors
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
P. Siakam
B. Ingram
Detailed Analysis
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.08.26
In a regular-season matchup with significant implications for both franchises, the Indiana Pacers (13-39) travel to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto to face the Toronto Raptors (31-22) on February 8, 2026, at 3:00 PM EST. This game pits a struggling Pacers squad, ravaged by injuries, against a Raptors team looking to solidify its playoff positioning.
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Preview
Indiana Pacers Key Stats & Trends
The Indiana Pacers arrive in Toronto in disarray, reflected by their dismal 13-39 record. Their offense heavily relies on the versatile Pascal Siakam, who leads the team with 23.7 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, showcasing his all-around impact with a rating of 23.7 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 4.0 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.5 BPG. Playmaking duties fall to Andrew Nembhard, who averages 7.5 assists. However, the Pacers’ primary weakness stems from their extensive injury list, crippling their depth and defensive capabilities. Without key contributors like Haliburton and Zubac, their ability to compete at a high level is severely compromised, leading to consistent struggles on both ends of the floor.
Injury Report Indiana Pacers
- Micah Potter (Day-to-day): Potter (hip) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Raptors.
- Aaron Nesmith (Day-to-day): Nesmith is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against Toronto due to a left elbow sprain.
- Ethan Thompson (Day-to-day): Thompson racked up two points (1-1 FG) and one assist over four minutes during Monday’s 126-119 loss to Houston.
- Ivica Zubac (Out): Head coach Rick Carlisle told reporters Friday that Zubac is working through an ankle injury that will delay the latter from making his Pacers debut, Tony East of Forbes.com reports.
- Kobe Brown (Out): Brown (recently traded), who has been ruled out for Friday’s game against the Bucks, is out for Sunday’s contest against Toronto, Tony East of Forbes.com reports.
- Obi Toppin (Out): Toppin (foot) is ahead of schedule in his recovery, but coach Rick Carlisle said he doesn’t have a timetable yet, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
- Tyrese Haliburton (Out): Haliburton said Tuesday in his appearance on the “Mind the Game” podcast that he has resumed taking part in 3-on-3 and 4-on-4 work on the court while he continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Toronto Raptors Key Stats & Trends
Conversely, the Toronto Raptors boast a strong 31-22 record, driven by a balanced attack and tenacious defense. Brandon Ingram spearheads their scoring efforts with 22.2 points per contest, while the dynamic Scottie Barnes is the team’s engine, leading in rebounds with 8.3 and showcasing an impressive all-around game (19.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.2 SPG, 1.5 BPG). Immanuel Quickley orchestrates the offense with 6.1 assists. The Raptors thrive on their athleticism and ability to generate turnovers, making Scotiabank Arena a tough place for any opponent, especially a short-handed one. Despite some lingering injury concerns, their core remains formidable.
Injury Report Toronto Raptors
- Immanuel Quickley (Day-to-day): Quickley sprained his ankle during Saturday’s practice and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Pacers, Blake Murphy of Sportsnet.ca reports.
- Jakob Poeltl (Out): Poeltl (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the Pacers and is currently considered out, Blake Murphy of Sportsnet.ca reports.
- Chucky Hepburn (Out): Hepburn produced 17 points (6-10 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), 15 assists, two rebounds and three steals in 35 minutes of Wednesday’s 115-108 G League win over the Delaware Blue Coats.
Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Best Bet
Considering the stark contrast in team health and overall performance, the Raptors are clear favorites. The Pacers’ extensive injury list, particularly the absence of Tyrese Haliburton and Ivica Zubac, leaves them severely undermanned. While Pascal Siakam will carry a heavy load, it won’t be enough against a cohesive Raptors unit led by Barnes and Ingram. However, the spread of +8.5 for the Pacers feels generous given the Raptors’ recent tendency for closer games even against weaker opponents, and the potential for a “trap game” scenario. The Pacers, despite their record, might manage to keep it within single digits if Siakam has a monster performance. For the total points, with key offensive players out for Indiana and Toronto’s defense-first approach, the under 225.5 seems the safer bet. Expect a lower-scoring affair with Toronto controlling the pace.
Prediction: Indiana Pacers +8.5 (Spread)
Total Points: Under 225.5
Last 5 Games: IND
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Milwaukee | L 105-99 | Nembhard 22 | Walker 9 | Nembhard 8 |
| vs Utah | L 131-122 | Walker 24 | Jackson 10 | Jones 8 |
| vs Houston | L 118-114 | Siakam 27 | Nesmith 6 | Nembhard 8 |
| vs Atlanta | W 129-124 | Nembhard 26 | Walker 10 | Nembhard 10 |
| vs Chicago | W 113-110 | Siakam 20 | Mathurin 8 | Nembhard 9 |
Last 5 Games: TOR
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | W 123-107 | Ingram 33 | Ingram 6 | Shead 8 |
| vs Minnesota | L 128-126 | Ingram 25 | Barnes 10 | Quickley 8 |
| vs Utah | W 107-100 | Barrett 21 | Barnes 9 | Barrett 4 |
| @ Orlando | L 130-120 | Ingram 35 | Barnes 8 | Barnes 6 |
| vs New York | L 119-92 | Ingram 27 | Barnes 10 | Barnes 5 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.