Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.06.26
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
P. Siakam
R. Rollins
Detailed Analysis
Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.06.26
Tonight, the struggling Indiana Pacers (13-38) face off against the Milwaukee Bucks (20-29) in a regular-season matchup scheduled for February 6th, 2026, at 8:00 PM EST in the Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. This contest, while featuring teams with disappointing records, offers an intriguing battle, heavily influenced by significant injury woes impacting both rosters.
Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Matchup Preview
Indiana Pacers Key Stats & Trends
The Indiana Pacers enter this game in a tough spot, reflected by their record. Their offense largely revolves around the recently acquired Pascal Siakam, who has been a consistent force, averaging an impressive 23.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.1 steals, and 0.5 blocks per game. His all-around production is critical, especially with star point guard Tyrese Haliburton sidelined. Andrew Nembhard has stepped up in Haliburton’s absence, orchestrating the offense with 7.5 assists per game. However, the team’s depth has been severely tested, leading to inconsistent performances. Their ability to generate offense without Haliburton’s primary playmaking remains a significant concern.
Injury Report Indiana Pacers
- Ivica Zubac (Out): Zubac (personal/recently traded) won’t play Friday against the Bucks.
- Kobe Brown (Out): Brown (recently traded) has been ruled out for Friday’s game against the Bucks.
- Micah Potter (Day-to-day): Potter (hip) is questionable for Friday’s game against the Bucks.
- Obi Toppin (Out): Toppin (foot) is ahead of schedule in his recovery, but coach Rick Carlisle said he doesn’t have a timetable yet.
- Tyrese Haliburton (Out): Haliburton has resumed taking part in 3-on-3 and 4-on-4 work on the court while he continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Milwaukee Bucks Key Stats & Trends
The Milwaukee Bucks, despite a better record, are also navigating a challenging period. Their offensive production has been reliant on the emerging talent of Ryan Rollins, who leads the team with 16.8 points and 5.5 assists per game. Kevin Porter Jr. has been a valuable addition, providing significant all-around contributions with 16.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 7.5 APG, 2.2 SPG, and 0.4 BPG. Bobby Portis has been a strong presence on the boards, grabbing 6.7 rebounds per game. However, the absence of their superstar dramatically alters their offensive and defensive identity, placing immense pressure on the remaining roster to perform.
Injury Report Milwaukee Bucks
- Bobby Portis (Day-to-day): Portis (hip) is questionable for Friday’s game versus the Pacers.
- Gary Harris (Out): Harris is questionable for Friday’s game against the Pacers due to a left hamstring strain.
- Ousmane Dieng (Day-to-day): Dieng was recently traded to Milwaukee and his availability may be limited.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (Out): The Bucks intend to keep Antetokounmpo (calf) through Thursday’s trade deadline, but he remains out.
- Taurean Prince (Out): The Bucks applied for a Disabled Player Exception for Prince, indicating a long-term absence.
Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup is heavily influenced by the extensive injury reports for both squads. While the Pacers are missing their floor general in Haliburton and key frontcourt depth, the Bucks are without their MVP, Giannis Antetokounmpo, which is an insurmountable loss for any team. The potential absence of Bobby Portis further weakens Milwaukee’s interior. With Pascal Siakam leading the charge and Andrew Nembhard facilitating, the Pacers, despite being on the road, have a more stable core of available talent to lean on. The Bucks will struggle significantly to replace Giannis’s scoring, playmaking, and defensive presence.
Our prediction: Indiana Pacers -1.5 (Spread).
Regarding the total points line of 224.5, despite the absence of primary offensive stars like Haliburton and Giannis, the defensive disruptions caused by these injuries and the potential for increased pace from secondary players could lead to a higher-scoring affair. Without key defensive anchors, both teams might find it challenging to consistently stop the opposition. We anticipate a game where offensive opportunities arise due to defensive gaps. Therefore, we pick the over.
Last 5 Games: IND
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah | L 131-122 | Walker 24 | Jackson 10 | Jones 8 |
| vs Houston | L 118-114 | Siakam 27 | Nesmith 6 | Nembhard 8 |
| vs Atlanta | W 129-124 | Nembhard 26 | Walker 10 | Nembhard 10 |
| vs Chicago | W 113-110 | Siakam 20 | Mathurin 8 | Nembhard 9 |
| @ Atlanta | L 132-116 | Siakam 26 | Siakam 9 | Nembhard 13 |
Last 5 Games: MIL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Orleans | W 141-137 OT | Rollins 27 | Turner 9 | Porter Jr. 9 |
| vs Chicago | W 131-115 | Kuzma 31 | Kuzma 10 | Rollins 10 |
| @ Boston | L 107-79 | Rollins 25 | Portis 12 | Rollins 7 |
| @ Washington | L 109-99 | Turner 21 | Turner 14 | Rollins 8 |
| @ Philadelphia | L 139-122 | Turner 31 | Portis 12 | Portis 8 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.