Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction | 01.26.26

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 26-01-2026

In a pivotal regular-season clash, the struggling Indiana Pacers (11-35) travel to State Farm Arena to face the Atlanta Hawks (22-25) on January 26, 2026, at 1:30 PM. This matchup presents a stark contrast in team trajectories, with the Hawks aiming to solidify their playoff push against a Pacers squad severely hampered by injuries.

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Matchup Preview

Indiana Pacers Key Stats & Trends

The Indiana Pacers find themselves in a challenging season, reflected in their 11-35 record. Their offense, once dynamic, has been significantly impacted by long-term injuries. Pascal Siakam remains a lone bright spot, consistently delivering 23.8 PPG, 6.9 RPG, and 4.0 APG, showcasing his all-around impact. Andrew Nembhard has stepped up as the primary facilitator, averaging 7.2 APG. However, the team’s overall offensive efficiency and defensive consistency have plummeted, leading to their poor standing.

Injury Report Indiana Pacers

• Quenton Jackson (Day-to-day): Jackson (ankle) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Hawks.
• Bennedict Mathurin (Out): Mathurin (thumb) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Hawks.
• Obi Toppin (Out): Toppin will undergo surgery to place a screw in his right foot Monday.
• Tyrese Haliburton (Out): Haliburton will miss the entire 2025-26 season while recovering from surgery on his right Achilles tendon.

Atlanta Hawks Key Stats & Trends

The Atlanta Hawks, at 22-25, are fighting for a playoff spot, largely fueled by the breakout performance of Jalen Johnson. Johnson has been exceptional, leading the team with 23.2 PPG, 10.5 RPG, and 8.0 APG, demonstrating his elite versatility as a triple-double threat. Despite facing their own injury woes, the Hawks’ offense has shown resilience, and their home-court advantage often provides a significant boost.

Injury Report Atlanta Hawks

• Zaccharie Risacher (Out): Risacher (knee) is out for Monday’s game against the Pacers.
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Porzingis (Achilles) is out for Monday’s game against the Pacers.
• N’Faly Dante (Out): Dante will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL in his right knee.

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Best Bet

Given the significant injury disparity and contrasting team forms, the Atlanta Hawks are poised for a decisive victory. The Pacers are without their franchise cornerstone Tyrese Haliburton for the season, a devastating blow that cripples their offensive identity. Obi Toppin’s surgery further depletes their frontcourt, and the questionable status of Mathurin and Jackson adds to their woes. While Pascal Siakam is a formidable talent, he cannot carry the entire team against a competitive opponent.

The Hawks, despite missing Kristaps Porzingis and Zaccharie Risacher, have an MVP-caliber performance from Jalen Johnson, whose 23.2 PPG, 10.5 RPG, and 8.0 APG provide a dominant force on both ends. Their home-court advantage and superior record underscore their capability to control this matchup. The Pacers’ depleted roster will struggle to contain Johnson or maintain consistent offensive output. Therefore, we confidently predict the Atlanta Hawks -5.5 (Spread).

Considering the Pacers’ defensive struggles and the Hawks’ offensive firepower led by Johnson, coupled with the potential for a fast-paced game, the total points line of 232.5 looks attainable. Expect both teams to push the tempo, leading to an over on total points.