Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction | 01.29.26

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 29-01-2026

The Houston Rockets (28-17) travel to State Farm Arena in Atlanta to face the struggling Atlanta Hawks (24-25) on January 29, 2026, at 8:00 PM EST. This regular-season matchup presents a compelling clash between a surging Rockets squad and an injury-riddled Hawks team desperately seeking consistency.

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Matchup Preview

Houston Rockets Key Stats & Trends

The Houston Rockets have established themselves as a formidable force this season, driven by elite individual talent. Offensively, they lean heavily on the scoring brilliance of Kevin Durant, who averages a stellar 26.4 PPG. Durant’s all-around impact is undeniable, contributing 5.5 RPG, 4.5 APG, 0.7 SPG, and 1.0 BPG. Complementing Durant’s scoring, Alperen Sengun orchestrates much of the Rockets’ offense, leading the team with 9.0 RPG and an impressive 6.4 APG, showcasing his exceptional playmaking from the center position. Despite the significant injuries, Houston’s core has maintained a high level of play, demonstrating resilience and depth.

Injury Report Houston Rockets

• Steven Adams (Out): The Rockets announced Wednesday that Adams has undergone season-ending left ankle surgery, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
• Fred VanVleet (Out): VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.

Atlanta Hawks Key Stats & Trends

The Atlanta Hawks have endured a challenging season, marked by inconsistent play and a barrage of injuries. Jalen Johnson has emerged as a bright spot, delivering an outstanding season with averages of 23.0 PPG, 10.4 RPG, and 7.9 APG, along with 1.3 SPG and 0.5 BPG. Johnson’s versatility has been crucial, but the team’s overall performance has suffered. The Hawks’ defensive struggles, particularly in the paint, are likely to be exacerbated by their extensive injury list, leaving them vulnerable against a potent Rockets offense.

Injury Report Atlanta Hawks

• Onyeka Okongwu (Day-to-day): Okongwu won’t return to Wednesday’s game against the Celtics due to a facial contusion, Brad Rowland of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.
• Zaccharie Risacher (Out): Risacher (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday’s game against the Celtics.
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Porzingis (Achilles) will be re-evaluated in one week, the Hawks announced Monday.
• N’Faly Dante (Out): Dante will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ACL in his right knee, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Best Bet

Given the current state of both rosters, the Houston Rockets enter this contest as clear favorites. While the Rockets are without Steven Adams and Fred VanVleet, their primary offensive engines in Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun remain healthy and highly productive. Durant’s scoring (26.4 PPG) and Sengun’s all-around game (9.0 RPG, 6.4 APG) will exploit a severely depleted Hawks frontcourt. Atlanta’s extensive injury report, particularly the absences of Kristaps Porzingis, N’Faly Dante, and the day-to-day status of Onyeka Okongwu, leaves them with minimal interior defense and rebounding. Jalen Johnson’s stellar play (23.0 PPG, 10.4 RPG, 7.9 APG) alone won’t be enough to compensate for the Hawks’ significant depth issues. Expect the Rockets to control the paint and leverage their offensive firepower.

Our prediction is Houston Rockets -3.5 (Spread). Furthermore, with Houston’s potent offense facing a compromised Atlanta defense, and the Hawks likely to push the pace with Johnson, we anticipate a high-scoring affair. Our Over/Under pick is over 225.5.