Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction | 01.25.26
Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves
Game Winner
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 25-01-2026
The regular season heats up as the Golden State Warriors (25-21) travel to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) on January 25, 2026, at 5:30 PM in the Target Center, Minneapolis. This Western Conference clash pits a struggling Warriors squad against a formidable Timberwolves team looking to solidify its playoff standing.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Matchup Preview
Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends
The Golden State Warriors enter this contest facing significant adversity. Their offensive engine, Stephen Curry, leads the team with an impressive 27.4 points per game, showcasing his enduring scoring prowess. His overall rating of 27.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 4.9 APG, 1.1 SPG, 0.4 BPG highlights his all-around impact. However, the Warriors’ recent performance has been hampered by inconsistency and a growing injury list. Draymond Green remains the team’s defensive anchor and primary facilitator, averaging 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists, crucial for their ball movement and interior presence. Despite these individual efforts, the team struggles with depth and maintaining offensive rhythm, especially against top-tier defenses.
Injury Report Golden State Warriors
- Jonathan Kuminga (Out): Kuminga is out for Saturday’s game against Minnesota due to left knee soreness, impacting their wing scoring and athleticism.
- De’Anthony Melton (Day-to-day): Melton (rest) is questionable for Sunday’s game in Minnesota, potentially weakening their backcourt defense.
- Al Horford (Day-to-day): Horford (left toe injury management) is questionable for Sunday’s game against Minnesota, which would be a blow to their frontcourt depth.
- Stephen Curry (Day-to-day): Curry is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against Minnesota due to right knee soreness, a monumental concern for their offensive production.
- Jimmy Butler III (Out): Butler’s injury from Monday Night’s game involves a torn right ACL and he will be out for the rest of the season, per Shams Charania of ESPN. This is a devastating, season-ending blow to their two-way star power.
- Seth Curry (Out): The Warriors announced Sunday that Curry is making progress in his recovery from a sciatic nerve issue and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, further depleting their guard rotation.
Minnesota Timberwolves Key Stats & Trends
The Minnesota Timberwolves present a robust challenge, fueled by their dynamic young star and dominant big man. Anthony Edwards leads the charge, averaging an outstanding 29.6 points per game, establishing himself as an elite scorer. His comprehensive rating of 29.6 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG, 0.8 BPG underscores his impact on both ends. Rudy Gobert anchors their formidable defense, leading the team with 11.3 rebounds per game and providing elite rim protection. Julius Randle, a key addition, contributes significantly to their offensive flow, averaging 5.4 assists. The Timberwolves are known for their strong defense and efficient offense, particularly at home, making them a tough out for any opponent.
Injury Report Minnesota Timberwolves
- Terrence Shannon Jr. (Out): Shannon (foot) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against the Jazz, a minor blow to their wing depth.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Best Bet
Given the extensive injury woes plaguing the Golden State Warriors, particularly the season-ending absence of Jimmy Butler III and the questionable status of Stephen Curry, their offensive and defensive capabilities are severely compromised. The potential absence of Kuminga, Horford, and Melton further strips them of key rotation players.
Conversely, the Minnesota Timberwolves are largely healthy and firing on all cylinders, especially with Anthony Edwards leading their potent attack and Rudy Gobert dominating the interior. Their home-court advantage at the Target Center will be a significant factor. The Timberwolves’ strong defense will likely capitalize on Golden State’s depleted lineup, making it difficult for the Warriors to generate consistent scoring.
Therefore, the definitive prediction is a victory for the home team.
Predicted Winner: Minnesota Timberwolves
Total points line ():
Over/Under pick:
Last 5 Games: GS
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Dallas | L 123-115 | Curry 38 | Horford 8 | Podziemski 10 |
| vs Toronto | L 145-127 | Hield 25 | Post 7 | Spencer 5 |
| vs Miami | W 135-112 | Podziemski 24 | Post 9 | Curry 11 |
| vs Charlotte | W 136-116 | Melton 24 | Post 7 | Podziemski 7 |
| vs New York | W 126-113 | Butler III 32 | Butler III 8 | Curry 7 |
Last 5 Games: MIN
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | L 120-115 | Randle 30 | Gobert 11 | Randle 6 |
| @ Utah | L 127-122 | Edwards 38 | Gobert 10 | DiVincenzo 8 |
| @ San Antonio | L 126-123 | Edwards 55 | Randle 10 | McDaniels 5 |
| @ Houston | L 110-105 | Randle 39 | Gobert 13 | Hyland 5 |
| @ Milwaukee | W 139-106 | Randle 29 | Randle 8 | DiVincenzo 7 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.