Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.25.26

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.25.26

The Golden State Warriors (30-28) travel to the FedExForum to face the Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) this Wednesday, February 25, 2026, at 7:30 PM. In a battle of attrition, both franchises are navigating significant injury hurdles. While the Warriors are fighting to solidify their playoff positioning in the West, the Grizzlies are focused on development amidst a season derailed by health issues.

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Matchup Preview

Golden State Warriors Key Stats & Trends

The Warriors have transitioned into a collective offensive approach with their primary stars sidelined. Brandin Podziemski has stepped up as a vital floor general, leading the current rotation with 12.2 PPG and a well-rounded stat line of 5.0 RPG and 3.7 APG. The veteran leadership of Draymond Green remains the team’s backbone, as he leads the squad in both rebounds (5.7) and assists (5.1). Despite the lack of elite scoring, GSW maintains a top-tier passing efficiency that keeps them competitive.

Injury Report Golden State Warriors

• De’Anthony Melton (Day-to-day): Melton (knee) notched 28 points in his last outing but remains questionable.
• Al Horford (Day-to-day): Horford (toe) is a game-time decision.
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out): Porzingis (illness) will miss the next two games.
• Stephen Curry (Out): Curry (knee) is out for at least 10 days.
• Seth Curry (Out): Curry (sciatica) will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
• L.J. Cryer (Out): Cryer (hamstring) is unavailable.
• Jimmy Butler III (Out): Butler is out for the season following ACL surgery.

Memphis Grizzlies Key Stats & Trends

Memphis has relied heavily on Ty Jerome, who is producing an impressive 19.3 PPG and 5.7 APG. Rookie Jaylen Wells has provided a scoring spark with 12.3 PPG, while GG Jackson anchors the glass with 3.8 RPG. The Grizzlies play at a high pace, but their defensive rating has suffered significantly without their primary rim protectors and perimeter stoppers.

Injury Report Memphis Grizzlies

• Kyle Anderson (Day-to-day): Anderson (knee) is questionable.
• Santi Aldama (Out): Out due to right knee injury management.
• Cedric Coward (Out): Out with a knee injury.
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Out): Out for the remainder of the season (finger surgery).
• Ja Morant (Out): Morant (elbow) will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
• Zach Edey (Out): Out at least six weeks with an ankle stress reaction.
• Brandon Clarke (Out): Out 4-6 weeks with a calf strain.

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Best Bet

Despite the staggering injury list for both sides, the Golden State Warriors hold the tactical advantage. The playmaking of Draymond Green and the emergence of Podziemski provide a level of structural stability that Memphis currently lacks without Morant.

Regarding the total, we are taking the over on the 227.5 line. With Porzingis, Edey, and Clarke all sidelined, both teams lack elite rim protection. Expect a high-paced game where transition buckets are frequent, pushing the final score past the projected total.