Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.04.26
Denver Nuggets
New York Knicks
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
N. Jokic
J. Brunson
Detailed Analysis
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.04.26
The regular season heats up as the Denver Nuggets (33-18) travel to Madison Square Garden to face the New York Knicks (32-18) on February 4th, 2026, at 7:00 PM. This highly anticipated matchup pits two of the league’s top contenders against each other, with the Knicks looking to defend home court and the Nuggets aiming to assert their dominance despite significant roster challenges.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Matchup Preview
Denver Nuggets Key Stats & Trends
The Denver Nuggets arrive in New York riding the unparalleled brilliance of Nikola Jokic, who continues to defy expectations. Jokic is averaging an incredible 29.3 points, 12.0 rebounds, and 10.7 assists, complemented by 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocks per game, making him the undisputed engine of this team. However, Denver faces an uphill battle, primarily due to a depleted roster. Their offensive flow, usually a symphony orchestrated by Jokic, will be tested without key contributors, potentially forcing more isolation plays or relying heavily on individual heroics from Jamal Murray and newly acquired Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown. The team’s depth and defensive integrity will be severely challenged.
Injury Report Denver Nuggets
- Cameron Johnson (Out): Johnson (knee) has been ruled out for Tuesday’s game against Detroit.
- Aaron Gordon (Out): Gordon (hamstring) will be re-evaluated in 4-to-6 weeks.
- Tamar Bates (Out): The Nuggets announced Monday that Bates (foot) will be re-evaluated in 12 weeks.
New York Knicks Key Stats & Trends
The New York Knicks are a formidable force at home, driven by the dynamic play of Jalen Brunson. Brunson leads the team with 27.2 points and 6.1 assists, showcasing his elite scoring and playmaking ability. Complementing him is Karl-Anthony Towns, who anchors the paint with 11.8 rebounds per game, providing crucial interior presence and secondary scoring. The Knicks’ roster boasts strong two-way players like OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges, who can disrupt opposing offenses and contribute on the other end. Their recent form suggests a cohesive unit capable of exploiting opponent weaknesses, especially against a short-handed Nuggets squad.
Injury Report New York Knicks
- Mitchell Robinson (Day-to-day): Robinson is out for Tuesday’s game against the Wizards due to left ankle injury management.
- Josh Hart (Day-to-day): Hart (undisclosed) exited to the locker room in the third quarter of Tuesday’s 132-101 win over the Wizards and did not return.
- Mohamed Diawara (Day-to-day): Diawara (ankle) has been ruled out for the remainder of Tuesday’s game against Washington.
- Miles McBride (Out): McBride is out for Tuesday’s game against the Wizards due to left ankle injury management.
- Kevin McCullar Jr. (Out): McCullar generated 23 points (7-16 FG, 3-10 3Pt, 3-3 FT), eight rebounds, eight assists, two steals and two blocks in 37 minutes during Friday’s 114-104 G League win over the Windy City Bulls.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction & Best Bet
The significant absence of Aaron Gordon for the Nuggets is a critical factor, impacting their defensive versatility and secondary scoring. While Nikola Jokic’s individual brilliance can keep any game close, the collective strength and depth of the Knicks, even with their own day-to-day concerns, give them a distinct advantage at home. Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns will capitalize on the Nuggets’ depleted frontcourt and provide consistent offense. The Knicks’ balanced attack and strong perimeter defense from Anunoby and Bridges are poised to contain Denver’s limited options.
Prediction: New York Knicks -5.5 (Spread)
Given the offensive firepower on both sides, particularly from Jokic and the Knicks’ primary scorers, the total points line of 226.5 feels attainable. The Nuggets, despite injuries, will lean heavily on Jokic to generate scoring, while the Knicks’ potent offense should thrive against a compromised Denver defense. Expect a competitive, high-scoring affair.
Total Points Pick: Over 226.5
Last 5 Games: DEN
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Detroit | L 124-121 | Murray 32 | Jokic 15 | Murray 8 |
| vs Oklahoma City | L 121-111 | Watson 29 | Jokic 7 | Murray 12 |
| vs LA | W 122-109 | Jokic 31 | Jokic 12 | Murray 9 |
| vs Brooklyn | W 107-103 | Murray 27 | Valanciunas 9 | Murray 6 |
| vs Detroit | L 109-107 | Murray 24 | Valanciunas 16 | Murray 10 |
Last 5 Games: NY
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Washington | W 132-101 | Bridges 23 | Towns 15 | Hart 7 |
| vs Los Angeles | W 112-100 | Anunoby 25 | Towns 13 | Brunson 13 |
| vs Portland | W 127-97 | Brunson 26 | Towns 20 | Hart 5 |
| @ Toronto | W 119-92 | Bridges 30 | Towns 22 | Kolek 10 |
| vs Sacramento | W 103-87 | Brunson 28 | Robinson 13 | Bridges 5 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.