Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.07.26

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.07.26

Tonight, the NBA regular season brings us an intriguing Western Conference matchup as the struggling Dallas Mavericks (19-32) travel to face the formidable San Antonio Spurs (35-16). Scheduled for 6:00 PM on February 7, 2026, at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, this contest pits a team in transition against a well-oiled machine led by a generational talent. The Spurs will look to continue their strong campaign, while the Mavericks aim to defy expectations amidst significant roster changes and key injuries.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Preview

Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends

The Dallas Mavericks enter this game with a challenging 19-32 record, reflecting a season marred by inconsistency and injury woes. Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been a revelation, leading the team with an impressive 20.4 points per game and a comprehensive rating of 20.4 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 4.2 APG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. His emergence is a significant bright spot. P.J. Washington anchors the glass with 7.2 rebounds per game, while newly acquired Ryan Nembhard is quickly adapting, contributing 4.9 assists per game. Despite these individual efforts, the team’s overall offensive flow has been hampered, and their defense remains a concern, especially against elite scoring threats.

Injury Report Dallas Mavericks

• Tyus Jones (Day-to-day): Jones (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• AJ Johnson (Day-to-day): Johnson (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against San Antonio.
• Marvin Bagley III (Day-to-day): Bagley (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Brandon Williams (Out): Williams (lower leg) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Khris Middleton (Day-to-day): Middleton (recently traded) is listed as doubtful for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Kyrie Irving (Out): Mavericks head coach Jason Kidd said Jan. 22 that Irving (knee) “probably” won’t be ready to make his season debut until after the All-Star break.
• Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The San Antonio Spurs boast a stellar 35-16 record, establishing themselves as a legitimate contender. At the heart of their success is the incomparable Victor Wembanyama, who dominates on both ends. Wembanyama leads the team with 24.2 points per game and an astounding 11.1 rebounds per game, complemented by a rating of 24.2 PPG, 11.1 RPG, 2.8 APG, 0.9 SPG, and 2.7 BPG. His defensive impact is particularly notable with nearly three blocks per game. Rookie point guard Stephon Castle has seamlessly integrated, dishing out 6.9 assists per game, showcasing his playmaking prowess. The Spurs’ strong team defense and efficient offense make them a tough out, especially at home.

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

• Jeremy Sochan (Out): Sochan (quadriceps) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Mavericks.
• Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) won’t play in Saturday’s game against Houston.
• Luke Kornet (Day-to-day): Kornet (ankle/adductor) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Mavericks.
• De’Aaron Fox (Day-to-day): Fox (back) is questionable for Saturday’s game against Dallas.
• David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Best Bet

Considering the current state of both teams, the San Antonio Spurs are poised for a decisive victory. The Mavericks are severely handicapped by the continued absence of Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, alongside Khris Middleton being doubtful. While Cooper Flagg is outstanding, he alone cannot counter the Spurs’ collective strength and the singular force of Victor Wembanyama. San Antonio’s superior record, home-court advantage, and Wembanyama’s dominance in scoring, rebounding, and defense will be too much for a Mavericks team still integrating new pieces. Even with De’Aaron Fox questionable, the Spurs have enough firepower and defensive solidity to cover the spread. Therefore, our prediction is San Antonio Spurs -10.5 (Spread).

Regarding the total points line of 229.5, despite the Mavericks’ injuries, Flagg’s scoring ability and the Spurs’ potent offense led by Wembanyama and Castle (and potentially Fox) suggest a high-scoring affair. Dallas’s defense without Lively II is vulnerable, and San Antonio’s offensive efficiency should allow them to put up significant points. We project the game to go over the total.