Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.07.26

Welcome to our comprehensive NBA game analysis for the upcoming regular-season clash between the Dallas Mavericks and the San Antonio Spurs. This Western Conference showdown, scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 6:00 PM CST in the Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, pits a struggling Mavericks squad (19-32) against a formidable Spurs team (35-16). Let’s delve into what promises to be an intriguing matchup.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Matchup Preview

Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends

The Dallas Mavericks arrive in San Antonio with a disappointing 19-32 record, reflecting a season marred by inconsistency and significant injuries. Their offense, while capable, has lacked a consistent flow. Rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been a revelation, leading the team with 20.4 points per game and showcasing an impressive all-around game with 6.6 RPG, 4.2 APG, 1.2 SPG, and 0.8 BPG. P.J. Washington anchors the boards with 7.2 rebounds per game, while Ryan Nembhard orchestrates the offense, averaging 4.9 assists. Despite these individual efforts, the team struggles with overall cohesion and defensive lapses, especially against top-tier opponents.

Injury Report Dallas Mavericks

• Tyus Jones (Day-to-day): Jones (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• AJ Johnson (Day-to-day): Johnson (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against San Antonio.
• Marvin Bagley III (Day-to-day): Bagley (recently traded) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Brandon Williams (Out): Williams (lower leg) is listed as probable for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Khris Middleton (Day-to-day): Middleton (recently traded) is listed as doubtful for Saturday’s game against the Spurs.
• Kyrie Irving (Out): Mavericks head coach Jason Kidd said Jan. 22 that Irving (knee) “probably” won’t be ready to make his season debut until after the All-Star break.
• Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.

San Antonio Spurs Key Stats & Trends

The San Antonio Spurs are enjoying a stellar season, boasting an impressive 35-16 record. Their success is largely attributed to the transcendent talent of Victor Wembanyama, who leads the team in scoring (24.2 PPG) and rebounding (11.1 RPG), while also dominating defensively with 2.7 blocks per game and contributing 2.8 APG and 0.9 SPG. Wembanyama’s unique skill set makes him a game-changer on both ends of the floor. Playmaking duties are capably handled by rookie Stephon Castle, who averages 6.9 assists per game. The Spurs play with discipline and a strong defensive identity, making them a tough out, especially at home.

Injury Report San Antonio Spurs

• Jeremy Sochan (Out): Sochan (quadriceps) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Mavericks.
• Lindy Waters III (Out): Waters (knee) won’t play in Saturday’s game against Houston.
• Luke Kornet (Day-to-day): Kornet (ankle/adductor) is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game against the Mavericks.
• De’Aaron Fox (Day-to-day): Fox (back) is questionable for Saturday’s game against Dallas.
• David Jones Garcia (Out): Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Best Bet

Considering the current form and injury situations, the San Antonio Spurs are poised to dominate this matchup. The Mavericks are severely hampered by the absence of star guard Kyrie Irving and key big man Dereck Lively II, significantly impacting their offensive firepower and interior defense. While Cooper Flagg’s emergence is promising, it’s unlikely to compensate for the collective talent deficit against a well-oiled Spurs machine. San Antonio, even with potential question marks around Jeremy Sochan and De’Aaron Fox, still possesses the overwhelming presence of Victor Wembanyama and the steady playmaking of Stephon Castle. Their strong home record and superior overall team performance make them the clear favorites.

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -10.5 (Spread)

Regarding the total points line of 229.5, the Spurs’ offense, led by Wembanyama, has consistently put up high numbers. The Mavericks, despite their struggles, have players like Flagg who can contribute offensively. Given the pace San Antonio often plays at and Dallas’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially without Lively II, we anticipate a relatively high-scoring affair.

Over/Under Pick: over 229.5