Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & Picks | 02.10.26
Dallas Mavericks
Phoenix Suns
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Key Matchup: Top Scorers
C. Flagg
D. Booker
Detailed Analysis
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 02.10.26
The Western Conference landscape takes center stage this Tuesday as the Dallas Mavericks (19-33) travel to the Mortgage Matchup Center to face the Phoenix Suns (31-22). While the records suggest a mismatch, this 9:00 PM tip-off features a fascinating clash between Phoenix’s established star power and Dallas’s emerging youth movement led by a generational prospect.
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Matchup Preview
Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have struggled for consistency, largely due to a depleted backcourt. However, rookie sensation Cooper Flagg has been a revelation, leading the team with 20.2 PPG and showcasing elite versatility with 6.6 RPG and 4.2 APG. Dallas relies heavily on P.J. Washington (7.1 RPG) to anchor the interior, while Ryan Nembhard has stepped up as a primary facilitator, averaging 4.9 assists. Their success hinges on high-volume perimeter shooting to compensate for a lack of interior depth.
Injury Report Dallas Mavericks
- Klay Thompson (Day-to-day): Thompson (rest) is questionable for Tuesday’s game against Phoenix.
- Kyrie Irving (Out): Head coach Jason Kidd stated Irving (knee) likely won’t debut until after the All-Star break.
- Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively is sidelined following successful surgery on his right foot.
Phoenix Suns Key Stats & Trends
Phoenix enters as the favorite, powered by Devin Booker’s elite offensive production. Booker is averaging 25.3 PPG and 6.3 APG, acting as both the primary scorer and playmaker. The Suns have found a reliable interior presence in Mark Williams, who leads the team with 8.2 rebounds per game. Despite their winning record, Phoenix has shown defensive lapses when their bench rotation is shortened by injuries, often leading to high-scoring affairs.
Injury Report Phoenix Suns
- Cole Anthony (Out): Anthony is not with the team and will miss Tuesday’s contest.
- Isaiah Livers (Out): Livers (shoulder) remains out until after the All-Star break.
- Grayson Allen (Out): Allen (knee) is scheduled for re-evaluation following the All-Star break.
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Best Bet
While Phoenix is the superior team on paper, the Dallas Mavericks +7.5 (Spread) offers significant value. Cooper Flagg’s ability to create mismatches should keep Dallas competitive against a Suns defense missing Grayson Allen’s perimeter tenacity. Furthermore, we are backing the over on the 227.5 total points line. With Dereck Lively II out, Dallas lacks a rim protector to stop Booker, while Phoenix’s high-octane offense consistently pushes the tempo at home. Expect a high-scoring battle where Dallas covers the number late.
Last 5 Games: DAL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ San Antonio | L 138-125 | Thompson 19 | Bagley III 12 | Jones 7 |
| vs San Antonio | L 135-123 | Flagg 32 | Gafford 10 | Nembhard 7 |
| vs Boston | L 110-100 | Flagg 36 | Gafford 12 | Flagg 6 |
| @ Houston | L 111-107 | Flagg 34 | Flagg 12 | Flagg 5 |
| vs Charlotte | L 123-121 | Flagg 49 | Martin 11 | Williams 6 |
Last 5 Games: PHX
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | L 109-103 | Brooks 28 | O'Neale 11 | Booker 9 |
| vs Golden State | L 101-97 | Brooks 24 | Williams 10 | O'Neale 5 |
| @ Portland | W 130-125 | Gillespie 30 | Williams 11 | Gillespie 10 |
| vs LA | L 117-93 | Allen 23 | Williams 7 | Allen 8 |
| vs Cleveland | W 126-113 | Brooks 27 | Williams 7 | Gillespie 5 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.