Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Prediction | 01.19.26
Dallas Mavericks
New York Knicks
Game Spread
Total Points
Tale of the Tape
Detailed Analysis
Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Prediction, Odds & NBA Picks | 19-01-2026
The regular season continues to deliver intriguing matchups, and this clash on January 19, 2026, at Madison Square Garden, New York, pits the struggling Dallas Mavericks (17-26) against the formidable New York Knicks (25-17). With both teams battling injuries, this 5:00 PM encounter promises a test of depth and resilience under the bright lights of NYC.
Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Matchup Preview
Dallas Mavericks Key Stats & Trends
The Dallas Mavericks arrive in New York with a challenging 17-26 record, a testament to their struggles, exacerbated by a relentless string of injuries. Their offensive output has been inconsistent, often relying heavily on individual brilliance. Forward Naji Marshall has emerged as a primary scoring option, leading the team with 14.1 points per game and also pacing them in rebounding with 4.6 boards per contest. His all-around impact is evident in his rating of 14.1 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.9 APG, 1.1 SPG, and 0.1 BPG. Rookie point guard Ryan Nembhard has shown promise, leading the team with 5.2 assists per game, tasked with orchestrating an offense missing its key architects. The Mavericks’ defense has also been porous, struggling to contain opponents consistently, a weakness likely to be exploited given their current roster state.
Injury Report Dallas Mavericks
- Daniel Gafford (Out): Gafford (ankle) is out for Monday’s game against the Knicks.
- D’Angelo Russell (Out): Russell (illness) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Knicks.
- P.J. Washington (Out): Washington (personal) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Knicks.
- Cooper Flagg (Questionable): Flagg (ankle) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Knicks.
- Anthony Davis (Out): A second opinion revealed Davis (finger) won’t require surgery, and he’ll be re-evaluated in six weeks.
- Dereck Lively II (Out): Lively successfully underwent surgery on his right foot Sunday.
- Kyrie Irving (Out): Irving (knee) remains out indefinitely and doesn’t have a return timetable.
- Dante Exum (Out): The Mavericks announced Thursday that Exum will undergo season-ending knee surgery.
New York Knicks Key Stats & Trends
The New York Knicks boast a stronger 25-17 record, positioning them firmly in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. Their success has largely been built on a tenacious defense and the stellar play of their frontcourt. Karl-Anthony Towns has been a dominant force, leading the team in scoring with 20.9 points per game and rebounding with an impressive 11.5 boards per contest. His comprehensive stat line of 20.9 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 2.9 APG, 0.9 SPG, and 0.7 BPG underscores his critical role. Veteran guard Josh Hart has been instrumental as a playmaker, dishing out 5.3 assists per game, showcasing his versatility beyond scoring. The Knicks play a physical, grind-it-out style, which often translates into defensive efficiency and controlled offensive possessions.
Injury Report New York Knicks
- Josh Hart (Questionable): Hart (ankle) is questionable for Monday’s game against the Mavericks.
- Jalen Brunson (Questionable): Brunson (ankle) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Mavericks.
Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Prediction & Best Bet
This matchup presents a stark contrast in team health and momentum. The Dallas Mavericks are severely depleted, missing nearly their entire starting five and key rotation players, including Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, and D’Angelo Russell. While Naji Marshall and Ryan Nembhard have stepped up, their supporting cast is thin. The Knicks, while potentially missing Jalen Brunson and Josh Hart, still possess significant firepower with Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby, and Mikal Bridges. Given Dallas’s extensive injury list, their defense is likely to be vulnerable, and their offense will struggle for consistent scoring. However, the spread of 10.5 points is substantial. The Knicks, even at home, might not blow out a team trying to compete, especially if their own key players are limited. Therefore, we predict the Mavericks will fight to keep the score closer than the spread suggests.
Prediction: Dallas Mavericks +10.5 (Spread)
Regarding the total points line of 230.5, the Mavericks’ depleted defense will struggle to contain the Knicks, who could put up a high score. While Dallas’s offense is hampered, their remaining players may push the pace to try and generate opportunities, leading to a more open game. The lack of defensive anchors for Dallas suggests a higher-scoring affair.
Total Points Pick: Over 230.5
Last 5 Games: DAL
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah | W 138-120 | Thompson 23 | Cisse 10 | Marshall 6 |
| vs Utah | W 144-122 | Thompson 26 | Cisse 13 | Nembhard 10 |
| vs Denver | L 118-109 | Marshall 24 | Gafford 10 | Nembhard 4 |
| vs Brooklyn | W 113-105 | Flagg 27 | Powell 10 | Marshall 9 |
| @ Chicago | L 125-107 | Nembhard 16 | Cisse 10 | Nembhard 6 |
Last 5 Games: NY
| Opponent | Result | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Phoenix | L 106-99 | Towns 23 | Towns 11 | McBride 5 |
| @ Golden State | L 126-113 | Anunoby 25 | Towns 20 | Hart 10 |
| @ Sacramento | L 112-101 | Bridges 19 | Robinson 11 | McBride 6 |
| @ Portland | W 123-114 | Brunson 26 | Towns 11 | Brunson 8 |
| @ Phoenix | L 112-107 | Brunson 27 | Robinson 14 | Brunson 5 |
Written by Matt Dorsey
Matt Dorsey turned his obsession with sports into a career five years ago, and he hasn't looked back. By combining a fan's passion with a veteran’s analytical eye, Matt provides reliable insights for the NBA, NHL, and NFL. He knows you’re looking for more than just a pick; you’re looking for a reason to trust the play. That’s why his work is always transparent, researched, and rooted in five years of proven results.